Prediction: Molde vs Fredrikstad
Team pages: Molde · Fredrikstad
- Molde1-2Fredrikstad
- Fredrikstad4-2Molde
- Fredrikstad0-0Molde
- Molde6-1Fredrikstad
- Fredrikstad0-0Molde
| Molde | Draw | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 20% | 16% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Fredrikstad: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Molde | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Molde 1–2–2 Fredrikstad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Fredrikstad |
| 12/07/25 Norway Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | 4-2 HT 0-1 | Molde |
| 07/12/24 Norway Cup | Fredrikstad | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Molde |
| 14/09/24 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 6-1 HT 3-1 | Fredrikstad |
| 13/07/24 Norway Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Molde |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 40 |
| 4 | Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 40 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 36 |
| 7 | SK Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 37 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 29 |
| 9 | KFUM | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 28 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 46 | 26 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 48 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 51 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 47 | 19 |
| 16 | IK Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 54 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Molde | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| IK Start | 6-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Lillestrom | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Valerenga | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Tromso | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Kristiansund BK | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Sarpsborg | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Molde (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Molde
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
4-3 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 6 | W |
Fredrikstad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/07 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Molde vs Fredrikstad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Molde win (65%). Probabilities: Molde 65%, draw 20%, Fredrikstad 15%.
How many goals are expected in Molde vs Fredrikstad?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Molde 2.44 · Fredrikstad 1.15), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Molde vs Fredrikstad?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.