Football · Norway Eliteserien · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg

Team pages: Ham-Kam · Rosenborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

Ham-Kam1.63

Rosenborg2.17

1X2

28% 22% 49%

Ham-Kam Draw Rosenborg

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Ham-Kam 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLDLLLWL

Rosenborg 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWWD

Head-to-head

Ham-Kam 2–4 Rosenborg (6 last)

Rosenborg4-0Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam4-0Rosenborg
Rosenborg2-0Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam0-2Rosenborg
Rosenborg1-0Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam3-0Rosenborg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg (rating 1488 vs 1624).
H2H favours Rosenborg: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ham-Kam	Rosenborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	2.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	4.3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 15:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 5.00▲	Pinn 5.17 ★
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Pinn 4.25
2	1.61 → 1.60▼	Pinn 1.60

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 6.3% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:10 +4’	4.75	4.00	1.61
22:11 +4’	5.50▲	4.20▲	1.50▼
01:08 +3’	4.75▼	4.00▼	1.61▲
11:13 +2’	5.00▲	4.10▲	1.57▼
15:17 +6’	5.00	4.20▲	1.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:50 +9’	4.89	4.09	1.63
15:42 +90’	4.98▲	4.15▲	1.64▲
21:47 +28’	5.26▲	4.28▲	1.59▼
07:51 +18’	5.18▼	4.25▼	1.60▲
11:39 +42’	5.17▼	4.25	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ham-Kam 2–0–4 Rosenborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	4-0 HT 1-0	Ham-Kam
28/09/25 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	4-0 HT 3-0	Rosenborg
13/07/25 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	2-0 HT 2-0	Ham-Kam
10/11/24 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	0-2 HT 0-2	Rosenborg
14/04/24 Norway Eliteserien	Rosenborg	1-0 HT 1-0	Ham-Kam
20/08/23 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	3-0 HT 2-0	Rosenborg

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	23	18	2	3	58	20	56
2	Viking FK	23	18	2	3	59	22	56
3	Molde	23	12	4	7	52	35	40
4	Tromso	23	11	7	5	42	31	40
5	Rosenborg	23	11	4	8	43	31	37
6	Lillestrom	23	11	3	9	32	31	36
7	SK Brann	23	9	2	12	40	37	29
8	Fredrikstad	23	8	5	10	28	36	29
9	KFUM	23	8	5	10	28	37	29
10	Sarpsborg	23	7	7	9	28	34	28
11	Valerenga	23	7	5	11	38	46	26
12	Ham-Kam	23	7	5	11	33	48	26
13	Sandefjord	23	6	6	11	22	30	24
14	Aalesund	23	5	9	9	39	51	24
15	Kristiansund BK	23	5	4	14	23	47	19
16	IK Start	23	4	4	15	25	54	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ham-Kam	Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt	0-2 L	2-4 L
IK Start	4-2 W	3-0 W
Tromso	2-3 L	5-3 W
Kristiansund BK	2-2 D	3-1 W
SK Brann	0-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ham-Kam

LWDLDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
11/10	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-1	4-2	4	0	W
20/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
13/09	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-5	6	1	L
05/09	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
30/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-2	9	3	D
16/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
09/08	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
31/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
26/07	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	3	6	L

Rosenborg

WWLWWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
19/09	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
12/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	4-0	5-3	4	5	W
05/09	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
30/08	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-4	2	2	L
14/08	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	9	0	W
09/08	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
02/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-3	12	5	L
27/07	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	2-0	4-0	10	1	W
18/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosenborg win (49%). Probabilities: Ham-Kam 28%, draw 22%, Rosenborg 49%.

How many goals are expected in Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?

The model expects 3.8 goals (Ham-Kam 1.63 · Rosenborg 2.17), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.