Football · Brazil Serie B · 02/11, 20:00
Prediction: Fortaleza vs Atletico GO
Team pages: Fortaleza · Atletico GO
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Fortaleza1.33
Atletico GO0.97
1X2
Fortaleza
Draw
Atletico GO
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Atletico GO
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortaleza
2–1–3
Atletico GO
(6 last)
- Atletico GO1-0Fortaleza
- Atletico GO3-1Fortaleza
- Fortaleza3-1Atletico GO
- Fortaleza1-1Atletico GO
- Atletico GO0-1Fortaleza
- Fortaleza0-3Atletico GO
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fortaleza 1551 · Atletico GO 1515
| Fortaleza | Draw | Atletico GO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 29% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico GO: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza | Atletico GO | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.6 | 4 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza 2–1–3 Atletico GO
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Brazil Serie B | Atletico GO | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza |
| 05/12/24 Brazil Serie A | Atletico GO | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| 21/07/24 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico GO |
| 06/11/22 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico GO |
| 17/07/22 Brazil Serie A | Atletico GO | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza |
| 02/10/21 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Atletico GO |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 64 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 61 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 30 | 59 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 55 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 54 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 54 |
| 9 | Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | 52 |
| 10 | Operario PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 46 | 51 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo SP | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49 | 39 | 49 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 38 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 32 | 28 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club MG | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40 | 40 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 46 | 43 |
| 16 | Ceara | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 44 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 45 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 51 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 54 | 23 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 76 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza | Atletico GO |
|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Sport Recife | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CRB | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| America MG | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Ceara | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Goias | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/10 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/10 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 20/09 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/09 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
Atletico GO
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 18 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 08/10 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/09 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza vs Atletico GO?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortaleza win (44%). Probabilities: Fortaleza 44%, draw 29%, Atletico GO 26%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza vs Atletico GO?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Fortaleza 1.33 · Atletico GO 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza vs Atletico GO?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.