Football · Brazil Serie B · 08/11, 01:30
Prediction: Nautico vs CRB
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Nautico1.22
CRB1.69
1X2
Nautico
Draw
CRB
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Nautico
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
CRB
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nautico
2–2–2
CRB
(6 last)
- CRB2-1Nautico
- Nautico1-1CRB
- Nautico2-2CRB
- Nautico2-1CRB
- CRB1-2Nautico
- Nautico1-3CRB
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nautico 1455 · CRB 1515
| Nautico | Draw | CRB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 26% | 27% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CRB (rating 1455 vs 1515).
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nautico | CRB | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.1 | 3.6 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nautico 2–2–2 CRB
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Nautico |
| 24/03/24 Brazil Copa Nordeste | Nautico | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CRB |
| 04/02/23 Brazil Copa Nordeste | Nautico | 2-2 HT 1-0 | CRB |
| 11/08/22 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 2-1 HT 2-0 | CRB |
| 28/04/22 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Nautico |
| 29/09/21 Brazil Serie B | Nautico | 1-3 HT 0-2 | CRB |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64 | 31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 61 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 55 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 39 | 55 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 54 |
| 9 | Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | 52 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo SP | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 52 |
| 11 | Operario PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 48 | 51 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 39 | 48 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 47 |
| 14 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 46 | 46 |
| 15 | Athletic Club MG | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40 | 40 | 44 |
| 16 | Ceara | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 44 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 45 | 54 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 78 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nautico | CRB |
|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Sport Recife | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Cuiaba | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Operario PR | 3-3 D | 0-3 L |
| America MG | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nautico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 27/10 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/10 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 22/09 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
CRB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 12/10 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 08/10 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/09 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nautico vs CRB?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CRB win (47%). Probabilities: Nautico 26%, draw 27%, CRB 47%.
How many goals are expected in Nautico vs CRB?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Nautico 1.22 · CRB 1.69), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nautico vs CRB?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.