Football · Brazil Serie B · 08/11, 00:00

Prediction: Vila Nova vs Criciuma

Team pages: Vila Nova · Criciuma

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Vila Nova1.35

Criciuma0.91

1X2

46% 30% 24%

Vila Nova Draw Criciuma

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Vila Nova 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWDLD

Criciuma 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWWLW

Head-to-head

Vila Nova 1–2–3 Criciuma (6 last)

Criciuma2-0Vila Nova
Vila Nova1-1Criciuma
Criciuma1-0Vila Nova
Criciuma1-0Vila Nova
Vila Nova0-0Criciuma
Vila Nova1-0Criciuma

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Criciuma: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vila Nova	Criciuma
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	4.5 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.04

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.27 → 2.29▲	Pinn 2.29
X	3.09 → 3.12▲	Pinn 3.12
2	3.34 → 3.38▲	Pinn 3.38

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +44’	2.27	3.09	3.34
02:02 +28’	2.29▲	3.12▲	3.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vila Nova 1–2–3 Criciuma

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	2-0 HT 1-0	Vila Nova
03/10/25 Brazil Serie B	Vila Nova	1-1 HT 1-0	Criciuma
10/06/25 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-0 HT 0-0	Vila Nova
23/08/23 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-0 HT 1-0	Vila Nova
13/05/23 Brazil Serie B	Vila Nova	0-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma
05/10/22 Brazil Serie B	Vila Nova	1-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	36	18	11	7	47	25	65
2	Gremio Novorizontino	35	18	10	7	62	30	64
3	Vila Nova	36	18	9	9	52	38	63
4	Criciuma	36	18	8	10	38	30	62
5	Fortaleza	35	16	13	6	43	31	61
6	CRB	35	16	7	12	53	49	55
7	Sport Recife	36	14	13	9	48	39	55
8	Atletico GO	35	14	12	9	42	33	54
9	Goias	35	15	7	13	36	40	52
10	Operario PR	35	14	9	12	45	46	51
11	Sao Bernardo SP	35	13	10	12	49	39	49
12	Botafogo SP	36	13	9	14	41	39	48
13	Cuiaba	35	11	14	10	32	28	47
14	Nautico	36	12	10	14	40	46	46
15	Athletic Club MG	35	10	14	11	40	40	44
16	Ceara	35	11	10	14	37	44	43
17	Avai	36	10	7	19	33	46	37
18	Londrina	36	8	8	20	45	54	32
19	America MG	36	7	5	24	26	55	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	3	6	27	21	78	15

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vila Nova	Criciuma
EC Juventude	2-2 D	0-2 L
Sao Bernardo SP	2-3 L	1-0 W
Londrina	2-0 W	2-0 W
America MG	1-0 W	1-0 W
Avai	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Criciuma (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vila Nova

WDWWWDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-2	9	5	D
24/10	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-3	3	5	L
18/10	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-2	6	5	D
11/10	Nautico Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
08/10	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
03/10	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
26/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
19/09	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
15/09	Avai Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
11/09	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	2	7	W

Criciuma

LLLWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	11	10	W
24/10	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
18/10	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
13/10	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
09/10	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
03/10	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
27/09	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	3-0	5	7	W
23/09	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	17	5	L
13/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-4	5	6	L
09/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	10	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vila Nova vs Criciuma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vila Nova win (46%). Probabilities: Vila Nova 46%, draw 30%, Criciuma 24%.

How many goals are expected in Vila Nova vs Criciuma?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Vila Nova 1.35 · Criciuma 0.91), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Vila Nova vs Criciuma?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.