Prediction: Ceara vs America MG
Team pages: Ceara · America MG
- America MG1-1Ceara
- Ceara1-0America MG
- America MG2-2Ceara
- Ceara1-2America MG
- America MG0-2Ceara
- Ceara0-0America MG
| Ceara | Draw | America MG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 28% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Ceara: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ceara | America MG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 2.7 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ceara 2–3–1 America MG
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Brazil Serie B | America MG | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ceara |
| 19/11/24 Brazil Serie B | Ceara | 1-0 HT 1-0 | America MG |
| 28/07/24 Brazil Serie B | America MG | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Ceara |
| 01/10/22 Brazil Serie A | Ceara | 1-2 HT 0-1 | America MG |
| 09/06/22 Brazil Serie A | America MG | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ceara |
| 05/12/21 Brazil Serie A | Ceara | 0-0 HT 0-0 | America MG |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64 | 31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54 | 51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 41 | 55 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 55 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 42 | 55 |
| 10 | Operario PR | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 50 | 54 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo SP | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 52 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 39 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club MG | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45 | 58 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 78 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ceara | America MG |
|---|---|---|
| EC Juventude | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Criciuma | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Operario PR | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Fortaleza | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Atletico GO | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Ceara (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ceara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/10 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 13/10 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/10 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/09 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
America MG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/10 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/10 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 08/10 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/09 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ceara vs America MG?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ceara win (56%). Probabilities: Ceara 56%, draw 26%, America MG 18%.
How many goals are expected in Ceara vs America MG?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Ceara 1.55 · America MG 0.77), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ceara vs America MG?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.