Prediction: Goias vs Ponte Preta
Team pages: Goias · Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta1-2Goias
- Ponte Preta1-1Goias
- Goias3-0Ponte Preta
- Goias2-2Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta2-1Goias
- Goias2-2Ponte Preta
| Goias | Draw | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 85% | 11% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goias (rating 1551 vs 1418).
- H2H favours Goias: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Goias | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.5 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/0/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6 | 1 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 5.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Goias 2–3–1 Ponte Preta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Goias |
| 17/08/24 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Goias |
| 28/04/24 Brazil Serie B | Goias | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 03/11/21 Brazil Serie B | Goias | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Ponte Preta |
| 24/07/21 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Goias |
| 22/09/18 Brazil Serie B | Goias | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Ponte Preta |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64 | 31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54 | 51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 41 | 55 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 55 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 42 | 55 |
| 10 | Operario PR | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 50 | 54 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo SP | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 52 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 39 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club MG | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 45 | 58 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 78 | 15 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Goias | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| CRB | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Gremio Novorizontino | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Atletico GO | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Botafogo SP | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Goias (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goias
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 28/10 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/10 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 07/10 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/10 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 15/09 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
Ponte Preta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 24/10 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 13/10 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 07/10 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 30/09 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goias vs Ponte Preta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Goias win (83%). Probabilities: Goias 83%, draw 13%, Ponte Preta 5%.
How many goals are expected in Goias vs Ponte Preta?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Goias 2.58 · Ponte Preta 0.58), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Goias vs Ponte Preta?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

