Football · Norway Eliteserien · 22/07, 19:00

Prediction: Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.06Total
Bodo/Glimt3.03
Ham-Kam1.03
1X2
81% 12% 7%
Bodo/Glimt Draw Ham-Kam
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bodo/Glimt 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWDWWW
Ham-Kam 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDWLWDDWDL
Head-to-head
Bodo/Glimt 4–1–1 Ham-Kam (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bodo/Glimt 1592 · Ham-Kam 1487
Bodo/GlimtDrawHam-Kam
Our model77%14%9%
Market85%10%5%
Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodo/Glimt (rating 1592 vs 1487).
  • H2H favours Bodo/Glimt: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bodo/GlimtHam-Kam
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 0.81.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.50.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/10/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 7.21.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.22.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bodo/Glimt 411 Ham-Kam

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
03/08/25
Norway Eliteserien
Ham-Kam1-3
HT 0-2
Bodo/Glimt
05/04/25
Norway Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt3-0
HT 1-0
Ham-Kam
13/09/24
Norway Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt3-0
HT 0-0
Ham-Kam
20/05/24
Norway Eliteserien
Ham-Kam1-0
HT 1-0
Bodo/Glimt
03/09/23
Norway Eliteserien
Ham-Kam4-4
HT 2-0
Bodo/Glimt
13/07/23
Norway Cup
Ham-Kam0-2
HT 0-0
Bodo/Glimt

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tromso 15942 261531
2 Viking FK 121002 311230
3 Bodo/Glimt 13922 311129
4 Lillestrom 13814 211225
5 Molde 13625 211720
6 SK Brann 14617 282219
7 Ham-Kam 12534 202218
8 Sarpsborg 13535 141618
9 Valerenga 13526 192217
10 Rosenborg 13436 151815
11 Sandefjord 13436 131715
12 Fredrikstad 13427 152314
13 KFUM 13337 132112
14 Aalesund 13265 182812
15 Kristiansund BK 13337 112112
16 IK Start 14149 14337

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBodo/GlimtHam-Kam
Fredrikstad 1-0 W 1-1 D
IK Start 4-1 W 2-1 W
Tromso 5-0 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bodo/Glimt (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bodo/Glimt

WLDWWWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 125 W
12/07 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-0 41 W
28/06 Molde
Europe Friendlies
2-0 4-1 32 W
29/05 Rosenborg
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-2 63 D
24/05 SK Brann
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 3-1 61 W
20/05 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
2-1 4-1 51 W
16/05 Tromso
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 5-0 42 W
09/05 SK Brann
Norway Cup
1-2 2-2 84 D
04/05 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-1 112 L
30/04 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 5-0 134 W

Ham-Kam

WDWLWDDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Tromso
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 1-4 10 L
12/07 Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 2-2 74 D
27/06 IFK Goteborg
Club Friendly List
0-1 2-1 41 W
20/06 Fredrikstad
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 41 D
29/05 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-2 42 D
25/05 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-0 42 W
16/05 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
0-2 1-2 73 L
08/05 Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 14 W
03/05 Kristiansund BK
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 34 D
26/04 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 2-1 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bodo/Glimt win (81%). Probabilities: Bodo/Glimt 81%, draw 12%, Ham-Kam 7%.

How many goals are expected in Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam?

The model expects 4.06 goals (Bodo/Glimt 3.03 · Ham-Kam 1.03), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.