Prediction: Darwin Olympic vs Palmerston Rovers FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.63Total
Darwin Olympic3.31
Palmerston Rovers FC1.31
1X2
76% 13% 11%
Darwin Olympic Draw Palmerston Rovers FC
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Darwin Olympic 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWDLWLDWLL
Palmerston Rovers FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWWLLLWD
Head-to-head
Darwin Olympic 1–0 Palmerston Rovers FC (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Darwin Olympic 1491 · Palmerston Rovers FC 1473
Darwin OlympicDrawPalmerston Rovers FC
Our model75%14%11%
Market76%13%11%
Estimated total (ours) 4.63 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Darwin OlympicPalmerston Rovers FC
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 2.51.8 / 4
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 1.21.2 / 1.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.22.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 01.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Darwin Olympic 100 Palmerston Rovers FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/05/26
Australia Darwin Premier League
Palmerston Rovers FC2-7
HT 0-6
Darwin Olympic

Standings · Australia Darwin Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 University Azzurri FC 151311 591440
2 Port Darwin FC 141004 533530
3 Mindil Aces 14914 471428
4 Darwin Hearts 14725 322823
5 Darwin Olympic 14635 422921
6 Casuarina FC 14527 293217
7 Palmerston Rovers FC 14419 235813
8 Hellenic AC 14239 20439
9 Garuda FC 150312 15673

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDarwin OlympicPalmerston Rovers FC
Port Darwin FC 3-4 L 0-10 L
Darwin Hearts 2-3 L 4-3 W
Garuda FC 9-1 W 2-2 D
Hellenic AC 2-2 D 1-0 W
University Azzurri FC 0-3 L 1-6 L
Casuarina FC 4-2 W 3-2 W
Mindil Aces 1-1 D 1-6 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Darwin Olympic (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Darwin Olympic

WWDLWLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Port Darwin FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
1-2 3-4 55 L
28/06 Darwin Hearts
Australia Darwin Premier League
1-3 2-3 42 L
12/06 Garuda FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
5-1 9-1 41 W
02/06 Hellenic AC
Australia Darwin Premier League
0-0 2-2 41 D
30/05 University Azzurri FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
0-2 0-3 13 L
23/05 Casuarina FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
1-0 4-2 45 W
16/05 Port Darwin FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
1-2 1-6 33 L
09/05 Mindil Aces
Australia Darwin Premier League
0-1 1-1 51 D
01/05 Palmerston Rovers FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
6-0 7-2 81 W
25/04 Darwin Hearts
Australia Darwin Premier League
0-1 2-1 42 W

Palmerston Rovers FC

LLWWWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Garuda FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
2-0 2-2 92 D
27/06 Casuarina FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
1-1 3-2 32 W
24/06 Mindil Aces
Australia Darwin Premier League
1-0 1-6 81 L
20/06 Port Darwin FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
0-6 0-10 22 L
06/06 University Azzurri FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
1-3 1-6 42 L
31/05 Darwin Hearts
Australia Darwin Premier League
4-1 4-3 51 W
17/05 Garuda FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
1-1 2-1 63 W
09/05 Hellenic AC
Australia Darwin Premier League
0-0 1-0 50 W
01/05 Darwin Olympic
Australia Darwin Premier League
0-6 2-7 41 L
25/04 Casuarina FC
Australia Darwin Premier League
2-1 2-3 85 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Darwin Olympic vs Palmerston Rovers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Darwin Olympic win (76%). Probabilities: Darwin Olympic 76%, draw 13%, Palmerston Rovers FC 11%.

How many goals are expected in Darwin Olympic vs Palmerston Rovers FC?

The model expects 4.63 goals (Darwin Olympic 3.31 · Palmerston Rovers FC 1.31), with a 51% chance of over 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Darwin Olympic vs Palmerston Rovers FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.