Football · Australia Darwin Premier League · 21/08, 13:00
Prediction: Garuda FC vs Darwin Olympic
Team pages: Garuda FC · Darwin Olympic
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.72Total
Garuda FC1.36
Darwin Olympic3.36
1X2
Garuda FC
Draw
Darwin Olympic
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Garuda FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Darwin Olympic
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Garuda FC
0–1–5
Darwin Olympic
(6 last)
- Darwin Olympic9-1Garuda FC
- Garuda FC1-8Darwin Olympic
- Darwin Olympic6-1Garuda FC
- Garuda FC2-2Darwin Olympic
- Darwin Olympic1-0Garuda FC
- Darwin Olympic3-2Garuda FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Garuda FC 1367 · Darwin Olympic 1558
| Garuda FC | Draw | Darwin Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 4% | 7% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.72 goals · Bet365 line 4.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darwin Olympic (rating 1367 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Darwin Olympic: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Garuda FC | Darwin Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 5.6 | 3.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 2.7 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Garuda FC 0–1–5 Darwin Olympic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Australia Darwin Premier League | Darwin Olympic | 9-1 HT 5-1 | Garuda FC |
| 18/04/26 Australia Darwin Premier League | Garuda FC | 1-8 HT 1-3 | Darwin Olympic |
| 23/08/25 Australia Darwin Premier League | Darwin Olympic | 6-1 HT 5-0 | Garuda FC |
| 14/06/25 Australia Darwin Premier League | Garuda FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Darwin Olympic |
| 12/04/25 Australia Darwin Premier League | Darwin Olympic | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Garuda FC |
| 16/08/24 Australia Darwin Premier League | Darwin Olympic | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Garuda FC |
Standings · Australia Darwin Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University Azzurri FC | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 81 | 19 | 52 |
| 2 | Mindil Aces | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 69 | 19 | 40 |
| 3 | Darwin Olympic | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 36 | 34 |
| 4 | Port Darwin FC | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 61 | 41 | 34 |
| 5 | Darwin Hearts | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 51 | 42 | 33 |
| 6 | Casuarina FC | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 47 | 18 |
| 7 | Palmerston Rovers FC | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 85 | 16 |
| 8 | Hellenic AC | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 56 | 15 |
| 9 | Garuda FC | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 94 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Garuda FC | Darwin Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Casuarina FC | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Port Darwin FC | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Mindil Aces | 0-11 L | 2-0 W |
| Palmerston Rovers FC | 0-7 L | 7-1 W |
| Darwin Hearts | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| University Azzurri FC | 0-10 L | 2-4 L |
| Hellenic AC | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Darwin Olympic (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Garuda FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Casuarina FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Port Darwin FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Mindil Aces Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-4 | 0-11 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | Palmerston Rovers FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/07 | Darwin Hearts Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/07 | Palmerston Rovers FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/06 | University Azzurri FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-4 | 0-10 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Hellenic AC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | Darwin Olympic Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-5 | 1-9 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | Casuarina FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
Darwin Olympic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Mindil Aces Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Hellenic AC Australia Darwin Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | University Azzurri FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Casuarina FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Port Darwin FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/07 | Palmerston Rovers FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
6-1 | 7-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 02/07 | Port Darwin FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Darwin Hearts Australia Darwin Premier League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Garuda FC Australia Darwin Premier League |
5-1 | 9-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Hellenic AC Australia Darwin Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Garuda FC vs Darwin Olympic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Darwin Olympic win (83%). Probabilities: Garuda FC 7%, draw 10%, Darwin Olympic 83%.
How many goals are expected in Garuda FC vs Darwin Olympic?
The model expects 4.72 goals (Garuda FC 1.36 · Darwin Olympic 3.36), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Garuda FC vs Darwin Olympic?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.