Football · Brazil Serie B · 24/10, 00:30

Prediction: Operario PR vs Athletic Club MG

Team pages: Operario PR · Athletic Club MG

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Operario PR1.7

Athletic Club MG1.12

1X2

50% 26% 24%

Operario PR Draw Athletic Club MG

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Operario PR 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDLLLL

Athletic Club MG 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDDLLD

Head-to-head

Operario PR 1–2 Athletic Club MG (3 last)

Athletic Club MG0-1Operario PR
Operario PR1-4Athletic Club MG
Athletic Club MG2-1Operario PR

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Athletic Club MG: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Operario PR	Athletic Club MG
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.81

Under 2.251.99

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.86 → 1.88▲	Pinn 1.88
X	3.40 → 3.44▲	Pinn 3.44
2	4.21 → 4.27▲	Pinn 4.27

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:12 +60’	1.86	3.40	4.21
22:13 +56’	1.88▲	3.44▲	4.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Operario PR 1–0–2 Athletic Club MG

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/07/26 Brazil Serie B	Athletic Club MG	0-1 HT 0-0	Operario PR
09/10/25 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	1-4 HT 1-4	Athletic Club MG
15/06/25 Brazil Serie B	Athletic Club MG	2-1 HT 1-1	Operario PR

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	33	18	7	8	46	31	61
2	EC Juventude	34	17	10	7	41	23	61
3	Gremio Novorizontino	33	17	9	7	59	28	60
4	Fortaleza	34	16	12	6	41	29	60
5	Criciuma	33	16	8	9	34	28	56
6	Atletico GO	34	14	12	8	42	32	54
7	CRB	33	15	7	11	51	47	52
8	Sport Recife	34	13	12	9	45	37	51
9	Goias	33	14	6	13	34	40	48
10	Operario PR	34	13	9	12	44	46	48
11	Cuiaba	33	11	14	8	32	26	47
12	Sao Bernardo SP	33	12	10	11	46	36	46
13	Ceara	34	11	10	13	37	42	43
14	Athletic Club MG	33	10	13	10	40	39	43
15	Nautico	33	11	9	13	39	42	42
16	Botafogo SP	33	11	8	14	37	38	41
17	Avai	33	10	6	17	33	43	36
18	Londrina	33	7	8	18	42	49	29
19	America MG	34	5	5	24	22	54	20
20	Ponte Preta	34	3	5	26	19	74	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Operario PR	Athletic Club MG
Goias	0-2 L	1-2 L
Botafogo SP	1-2 L	1-1 D
EC Juventude	0-3 L	2-0 W
Nautico	3-3 D	1-2 L
Londrina	2-1 W	2-2 D
Fortaleza	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Athletic Club MG (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Operario PR

DWWDWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
11/10	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-2	14	2	L
08/10	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
03/10	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
26/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
23/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
16/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-3	2	5	D
10/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	0	4	W
06/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	3	12	W
01/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	1	2	D

Athletic Club MG

LLWLWDDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
07/10	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
02/10	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-2	1-2	8	4	L
27/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
19/09	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
13/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
09/09	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	3-0	5-0	2	5	W
29/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
25/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-4	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Operario PR vs Athletic Club MG?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Operario PR win (50%). Probabilities: Operario PR 50%, draw 26%, Athletic Club MG 24%.

How many goals are expected in Operario PR vs Athletic Club MG?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Operario PR 1.7 · Athletic Club MG 1.12), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Operario PR vs Athletic Club MG?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.