Football · Brazil Serie B · 17/10, 21:30

Prediction: Ceara vs EC Juventude

Team pages: Ceara · EC Juventude

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Ceara1.14

EC Juventude1.03

1X2

37% 31% 32%

Ceara Draw EC Juventude

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Ceara 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDWDWW

EC Juventude 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLWWWD

Head-to-head

Ceara 1–5 EC Juventude (6 last)

EC Juventude2-0Ceara
Ceara0-1EC Juventude
EC Juventude2-1Ceara
Ceara1-3EC Juventude
EC Juventude1-0Ceara
Ceara4-1EC Juventude

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ceara 1517 · EC Juventude 1543

	Ceara	Draw	EC Juventude
Our model	37%	32%	31%
Market	37%	31%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours EC Juventude: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ceara	EC Juventude
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.8	1.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.00

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:19 +11’	2.45	3.00	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ceara 1–0–5 EC Juventude

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	2-0 HT 2-0	Ceara
30/08/25 Brazil Serie A	Ceara	0-1 HT 0-0	EC Juventude
12/04/25 Brazil Serie A	EC Juventude	2-1 HT 1-1	Ceara
25/11/23 Brazil Serie B	Ceara	1-3 HT 1-1	EC Juventude
23/07/23 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	1-0 HT 0-0	Ceara
13/11/22 Brazil Serie A	Ceara	4-1 HT 2-0	EC Juventude

Standings · Brazil Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	33	18	7	8	46	31	61
2	EC Juventude	33	17	9	7	39	21	60
3	Gremio Novorizontino	32	16	9	7	54	27	57
4	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37	27	56
5	Criciuma	32	15	8	9	33	28	53
6	Atletico GO	33	14	11	8	41	31	53
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49	45	51
8	Sport Recife	33	13	12	8	45	35	51
9	Goias	33	14	6	13	34	40	48
10	Operario PR	33	13	9	11	44	45	48
11	Cuiaba	33	11	14	8	32	26	47
12	Sao Bernardo SP	33	12	10	11	46	36	46
13	Nautico	33	11	9	13	39	42	42
14	Ceara	32	11	9	12	35	39	42
15	Athletic Club MG	32	10	12	10	38	37	42
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36	38	38
17	Avai	33	10	6	17	33	43	36
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40	47	28
19	America MG	32	4	5	23	21	53	17
20	Ponte Preta	32	3	4	25	17	68	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ceara	EC Juventude
Criciuma	1-0 W	2-0 W
Operario PR	2-2 D	3-0 W
Atletico GO	1-2 L	2-2 D
Sport Recife	2-1 W	1-2 L
Londrina	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: EC Juventude (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ceara

LWLWLDWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/10	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
26/09	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
19/09	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	2	8	W
13/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
10/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
05/09	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	9	2	W
30/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
22/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
19/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	3	7	L

EC Juventude

WDDWLLWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
07/10	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
03/10	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/09	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
19/09	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
13/09	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
09/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
05/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
02/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
26/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ceara vs EC Juventude?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ceara win (37%). Probabilities: Ceara 37%, draw 31%, EC Juventude 32%.

How many goals are expected in Ceara vs EC Juventude?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Ceara 1.14 · EC Juventude 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ceara vs EC Juventude?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.