Football · Brazil Serie B · 24/10, 21:30

Prediction: Atletico GO vs Gremio Novorizontino

Team pages: Atletico GO · Gremio Novorizontino

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Atletico GO1.36

Gremio Novorizontino1.38

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Atletico GO Draw Gremio Novorizontino

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico GO 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWLDD

Gremio Novorizontino 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLDWWW

Head-to-head

Atletico GO 1–3–1 Gremio Novorizontino (5 last)

Gremio Novorizontino3-0Atletico GO
Gremio Novorizontino1-1Atletico GO
Atletico GO1-0Gremio Novorizontino
Atletico GO2-2Gremio Novorizontino
Gremio Novorizontino2-2Atletico GO

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gremio Novorizontino (rating 1525 vs 1583).
High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico GO	Gremio Novorizontino
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	2.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 7.6	3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.91

Under 2.51.91

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.19 → 2.16▼	Pinn 2.16
X	3.19 → 3.35▲	Pinn 3.35
2	3.39 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:12 +4’	2.19	3.19	3.39
00:13 +1’	2.16▼	3.35▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico GO 1–3–1 Gremio Novorizontino

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Brazil Serie B	Gremio Novorizontino	3-0 HT 1-0	Atletico GO
09/09/25 Brazil Serie B	Gremio Novorizontino	1-1 HT 0-0	Atletico GO
04/05/25 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	1-0 HT 1-0	Gremio Novorizontino
02/11/23 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	2-2 HT 1-2	Gremio Novorizontino
08/07/23 Brazil Serie B	Gremio Novorizontino	2-2 HT 1-0	Atletico GO

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	33	18	7	8	46	31	61
2	EC Juventude	34	17	10	7	41	23	61
3	Gremio Novorizontino	33	17	9	7	59	28	60
4	Fortaleza	34	16	12	6	41	29	60
5	Criciuma	33	16	8	9	34	28	56
6	Atletico GO	34	14	12	8	42	32	54
7	CRB	33	15	7	11	51	47	52
8	Sport Recife	34	13	12	9	45	37	51
9	Goias	33	14	6	13	34	40	48
10	Operario PR	34	13	9	12	44	46	48
11	Cuiaba	33	11	14	8	32	26	47
12	Sao Bernardo SP	33	12	10	11	46	36	46
13	Ceara	34	11	10	13	37	42	43
14	Athletic Club MG	33	10	13	10	40	39	43
15	Nautico	33	11	9	13	39	42	42
16	Botafogo SP	33	11	8	14	37	38	41
17	Avai	33	10	6	17	33	43	36
18	Londrina	33	7	8	18	42	49	29
19	America MG	34	5	5	24	22	54	20
20	Ponte Preta	34	3	5	26	19	74	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico GO	Gremio Novorizontino
Ponte Preta	1-1 D	5-1 W
Sport Recife	1-1 D	2-1 W
Goias	1-0 W	3-0 W
Sao Bernardo SP	0-1 L	0-0 D
Ceara	2-1 W	1-2 L
Avai	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gremio Novorizontino (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico GO

WDWWLWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	18	7	D
11/10	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	10	3	D
08/10	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-3	7	3	L
03/10	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
26/09	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
19/09	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
13/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	2-0	4-0	3	6	W
10/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
30/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	2	W

Gremio Novorizontino

WWWWDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	3-1	5-1	5	8	W
09/10	Nautico Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/10	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
26/09	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
19/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-2	9	8	L
13/09	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
10/09	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-1	4	6	W
05/09	Avai Brazil Serie B	3-1	3-1	8	3	W
29/08	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
25/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	4-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico GO vs Gremio Novorizontino?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico GO win (36%). Probabilities: Atletico GO 36%, draw 28%, Gremio Novorizontino 36%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico GO vs Gremio Novorizontino?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Atletico GO 1.36 · Gremio Novorizontino 1.38), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico GO vs Gremio Novorizontino?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.