Football · Brazil Serie B · 24/10, 23:30

Prediction: CRB vs Londrina

Team pages: CRB · Londrina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

CRB2.28

Londrina0.89

1X2

68% 20% 12%

CRB Draw Londrina

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CRB 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWDL

Londrina 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLLLDW

Head-to-head

CRB 3–1–2 Londrina (6 last)

Londrina5-0CRB
Londrina1-1CRB
CRB2-1Londrina
Londrina1-0CRB
CRB1-0Londrina
CRB1-0Londrina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CRB 1497 · Londrina 1456

	CRB	Draw	Londrina
Our model	68%	20%	12%
Market	67%	21%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CRB (rating 1497 vs 1456).
H2H favours CRB: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CRB	Londrina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.8	2.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 04:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.47 → 1.45▼	Pinn 1.45
X	4.30 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.50
2	6.08 → 6.50▲	Pinn 6.50

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:52 +22’	1.47	4.30	6.08
01:43 +33’	1.49▲	4.36▲	6.21▲
03:50 +28’	1.45▼	4.50▲	6.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CRB 3–1–2 Londrina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Brazil Serie B	Londrina	5-0 HT 2-0	CRB
29/10/23 Brazil Serie B	Londrina	1-1 HT 0-0	CRB
01/07/23 Brazil Serie B	CRB	2-1 HT 2-0	Londrina
31/08/22 Brazil Serie B	Londrina	1-0 HT 0-0	CRB
19/05/22 Brazil Serie B	CRB	1-0 HT 1-0	Londrina
11/11/21 Brazil Serie B	CRB	1-0 HT 0-0	Londrina

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	34	18	8	8	48	33	62
2	Gremio Novorizontino	34	17	10	7	61	30	61
3	EC Juventude	34	17	10	7	41	23	61
4	Fortaleza	34	16	12	6	41	29	60
5	Criciuma	34	17	8	9	35	28	59
6	Atletico GO	34	14	12	8	42	32	54
7	CRB	34	15	7	12	51	48	52
8	Sport Recife	34	13	12	9	45	37	51
9	Goias	34	14	7	13	34	40	49
10	Operario PR	34	13	9	12	44	46	48
11	Cuiaba	34	11	14	9	32	27	47
12	Sao Bernardo SP	34	12	10	12	46	37	46
13	Botafogo SP	34	12	8	14	38	38	44
14	Athletic Club MG	34	10	14	10	40	39	44
15	Nautico	34	11	10	13	39	42	43
16	Ceara	34	11	10	13	37	42	43
17	Avai	34	10	7	17	33	43	37
18	Londrina	34	8	8	18	43	49	32
19	America MG	34	5	5	24	22	54	20
20	Ponte Preta	34	3	5	26	19	74	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CRB	Londrina
Fortaleza	2-2 D	1-2 L
Sao Bernardo SP	1-3 L	2-1 W
Cuiaba	3-0 W	1-0 W
Ponte Preta	0-1 L	6-0 W
Operario PR	0-3 L	1-2 L
Criciuma	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CRB

WWLWLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
12/10	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-2	2-2	11	4	D
08/10	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	3-1	10	3	W
03/10	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-3	7	2	L
27/09	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
20/09	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
16/09	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
10/09	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
05/09	America MG Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
30/08	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	2	4	W

Londrina

DLWWLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
14/10	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
08/10	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-2	1-2	9	6	L
03/10	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
26/09	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
20/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
16/09	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	3-0	6-0	10	3	W
11/09	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
06/09	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	7	12	L
02/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CRB vs Londrina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CRB win (68%). Probabilities: CRB 68%, draw 20%, Londrina 12%.

How many goals are expected in CRB vs Londrina?

The model expects 3.17 goals (CRB 2.28 · Londrina 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CRB vs Londrina?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.