Football · Brazil Serie B · 11/10, 23:30

Prediction: Operario PR vs Goias

Team pages: Operario PR · Goias

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Operario PR1.46

Goias1.26

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Operario PR Draw Goias

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Operario PR 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWWDWDLL

Goias 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Operario PR 2–1–3 Goias (6 last)

Goias0-3Operario PR
Goias2-1Operario PR
Operario PR1-2Goias
Goias3-0Operario PR
Operario PR2-0Goias
Operario PR1-1Goias

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Operario PR 1513 · Goias 1473

	Operario PR	Draw	Goias
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Operario PR (rating 1513 vs 1473).
H2H favours Goias: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Operario PR	Goias
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 03:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.30▲	Pinn 2.36
X	3.20 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
2	3.90 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.27 ★

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 3.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:09 +3’	1.95	3.20	3.90
03:41 +3’	2.00▲	3.20	3.75▼
04:07 +5’	2.00	3.40▲	3.75
08:31 +14’	2.20▲	3.30▼	3.30▼
02:03 +5’	2.25▲	3.40▲	3.10▼
03:03 +15’	2.30▲	3.30▼	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:25 +79’	2.13	3.13	3.76
04:00 +195’	2.13	3.12▼	3.76
12:42 +100’	2.16▲	3.12	3.66▼
11:37 +20’	2.19▲	3.11▼	3.60▼
15:16 +187’	2.17▼	3.20▲	3.53▼
23:30 +32’	2.19▲	3.23▲	3.58▲
00:56 +72’	2.34▲	3.22▼	3.27▼
08:45 +37’	2.35▲	3.22	3.25▼
11:33 +80’	2.36▲	3.24▲	3.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Operario PR 2–1–3 Goias

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Brazil Serie B	Goias	0-3 HT 0-3	Operario PR
09/08/25 Brazil Serie B	Goias	2-1 HT 1-1	Operario PR
13/04/25 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	1-2 HT 0-0	Goias
29/10/24 Brazil Serie B	Goias	3-0 HT 1-0	Operario PR
18/07/24 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	2-0 HT 1-0	Goias
06/11/21 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	1-1 HT 0-0	Goias

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EC Juventude	32	17	8	7	37	19	59
2	Vila Nova	32	17	7	8	44	31	58
3	Gremio Novorizontino	32	16	9	7	54	27	57
4	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37	27	56
5	Criciuma	32	15	8	9	33	28	53
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40	30	52
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49	45	51
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44	34	50
9	Operario PR	32	13	9	10	44	43	48
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32	25	47
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32	40	45
12	Sao Bernardo SP	32	12	9	11	44	34	45
13	Nautico	32	11	9	12	39	40	42
14	Ceara	32	11	9	12	35	39	42
15	Athletic Club MG	32	10	12	10	38	37	42
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36	38	38
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32	43	33
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40	47	28
19	America MG	32	4	5	23	21	53	17
20	Ponte Preta	32	3	4	25	17	68	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Operario PR	Goias
Botafogo SP	1-2 L	3-1 W
EC Juventude	0-3 L	0-1 L
Fortaleza	1-1 D	0-1 L
Vila Nova	0-0 D	0-2 L
Cuiaba	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Goias (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Operario PR

LDDWWDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
03/10	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
26/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
23/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
16/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-3	2	5	D
10/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	0	4	W
06/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	3	12	W
01/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
23/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
20/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	9	5	L

Goias

LDWLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
02/10	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
26/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
20/09	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	8	8	W
15/09	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-1	7	7	W
11/09	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	7	7	L
05/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
29/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
22/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-1	0	3	D
19/08	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Operario PR vs Goias?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Operario PR win (41%). Probabilities: Operario PR 41%, draw 28%, Goias 31%.

How many goals are expected in Operario PR vs Goias?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Operario PR 1.46 · Goias 1.26), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Operario PR vs Goias?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.