Football · Brazil Serie B · 18/10, 21:00
Prediction: CRB vs Botafogo SP
Team pages: CRB · Botafogo SP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
CRB1.87
Botafogo SP0.94
1X2
CRB
Draw
Botafogo SP
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CRB
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Botafogo SP
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CRB
3–2–1
Botafogo SP
(6 last)
- Botafogo SP0-1CRB
- CRB3-2Botafogo SP
- Botafogo SP2-1CRB
- Botafogo SP0-0CRB
- CRB4-1Botafogo SP
- CRB0-0Botafogo SP
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CRB 1527 · Botafogo SP 1460
| CRB | Draw | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CRB (rating 1527 vs 1460).
- H2H favours CRB: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CRB | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.9 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CRB 3–2–1 Botafogo SP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CRB |
| 25/09/25 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 27/05/25 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CRB |
| 25/09/24 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CRB |
| 18/07/24 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Botafogo SP |
| 05/08/23 Brazil Serie B | CRB | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Botafogo SP |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | Gremio Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 60 |
| 3 | EC Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 29 | 60 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 54 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 51 |
| 9 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 40 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 45 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 47 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo SP | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club MG | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 43 |
| 14 | Nautico | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 42 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 40 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37 | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 33 | 43 | 36 |
| 18 | Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 49 | 29 |
| 19 | America MG | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 54 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 74 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CRB | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico GO | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Cuiaba | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Ponte Preta | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Operario PR | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CRB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 08/10 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/09 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/08 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Botafogo SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/10 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 30/09 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 10/09 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CRB vs Botafogo SP?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CRB win (58%). Probabilities: CRB 58%, draw 25%, Botafogo SP 17%.
How many goals are expected in CRB vs Botafogo SP?
The model expects 2.81 goals (CRB 1.87 · Botafogo SP 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CRB vs Botafogo SP?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.