Football · Brazil Serie B · 03/10, 01:45

Prediction: EC Juventude vs Operario PR

Team pages: EC Juventude · Operario PR

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

EC Juventude1.47

Operario PR0.76

1X2

53% 28% 18%

EC Juventude Draw Operario PR

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

EC Juventude 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDDWLL

Operario PR 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWWDWD

Head-to-head

EC Juventude 1–2 Operario PR (3 last)

Operario PR2-1EC Juventude
Operario PR3-0EC Juventude
EC Juventude1-0Operario PR

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EC Juventude 1509 · Operario PR 1518

	EC Juventude	Draw	Operario PR
Our model	53%	29%	18%
Market	54%	28%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Operario PR: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EC Juventude	Operario PR
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.4	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.30

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:02 +6’	1.73	3.30	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Juventude 1–0–2 Operario PR

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	2-1 HT 1-0	EC Juventude
22/12/20 Brazil Serie B	Operario PR	3-0 HT 1-0	EC Juventude
30/09/20 Brazil Serie B	EC Juventude	1-0 HT 0-0	Operario PR

Standings · Brazil Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	30	16	6	8	43	31	54
2	Fortaleza	30	14	10	6	35	26	52
3	Gremio Novorizontino	30	14	9	7	49	27	51
4	EC Juventude	29	14	8	7	31	19	50
5	Criciuma	30	14	8	8	31	27	50
6	Atletico GO	30	13	10	7	37	27	49
7	CRB	30	14	6	10	45	41	48
8	Operario PR	30	13	9	8	43	38	48
9	Sport Recife	30	11	11	8	40	32	44
10	Cuiaba	30	10	13	7	30	25	43
11	Goias	30	12	6	12	30	36	42
12	Sao Bernardo SP	30	11	9	10	40	31	42
13	Athletic Club MG	30	10	12	8	36	33	42
14	Nautico	30	11	8	11	38	37	41
15	Ceara	30	9	9	12	33	39	36
16	Botafogo SP	29	8	8	13	32	36	32
17	Avai	30	8	6	16	30	41	30
18	Londrina	30	7	7	16	39	43	28
19	America MG	29	4	5	20	21	49	17
20	Ponte Preta	29	3	4	22	17	62	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EC Juventude	Operario PR
Criciuma	2-0 W	2-0 W
Londrina	0-0 D	2-1 W
CRB	2-1 W	3-0 W
Fortaleza	0-0 D	1-1 D
Avai	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Operario PR (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EC Juventude

WWDWWDDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
13/09	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
09/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
05/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
02/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
26/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
19/08	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
15/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
09/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
29/07	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W

Operario PR

LLLDDWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
23/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
16/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	1-1	3-3	2	5	D
10/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	0	4	W
06/09	Londrina Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	3	12	W
01/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
23/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
20/08	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
16/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
08/08	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Juventude vs Operario PR?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EC Juventude win (53%). Probabilities: EC Juventude 53%, draw 28%, Operario PR 18%.

How many goals are expected in EC Juventude vs Operario PR?

The model expects 2.23 goals (EC Juventude 1.47 · Operario PR 0.76), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Juventude vs Operario PR?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.