Prediction: Cuiaba vs Avai
- Avai1-0Cuiaba
- Avai2-0Cuiaba
- Cuiaba2-2Avai
- Cuiaba1-0Avai
- Avai1-2Cuiaba
- Cuiaba2-1Avai
| Cuiaba | Draw | Avai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 28% | 16% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cuiaba (rating 1538 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Cuiaba: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cuiaba | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cuiaba 3–1–2 Avai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cuiaba |
| 10/08/25 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Cuiaba |
| 11/04/25 Brazil Serie B | Cuiaba | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Avai |
| 28/10/22 Brazil Serie A | Cuiaba | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Avai |
| 03/07/22 Brazil Serie A | Avai | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Cuiaba |
| 28/11/20 Brazil Serie B | Cuiaba | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Avai |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 58 |
| 3 | Gremio Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo SP | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club MG | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 68 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cuiaba | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Ponte Preta | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Gremio Novorizontino | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Criciuma | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Goias | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cuiaba (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cuiaba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/09 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Avai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 15/09 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/09 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cuiaba vs Avai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cuiaba win (56%). Probabilities: Cuiaba 56%, draw 28%, Avai 17%.
How many goals are expected in Cuiaba vs Avai?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Cuiaba 1.5 · Avai 0.7), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cuiaba vs Avai?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.