Prediction: Araruama FC vs Cabofriense
Expected goals: 2.1 (Araruama FC 1.05 · Cabofriense 1.04). The model gives 34% home, 32% draw, 34% away. Over 1.75 goals (54%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Araruama FC sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Cabofriense arrives on a 2-3-5 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Araruama FC and 2 for Cabofriense, with 1 draw.
| Araruama FC | Draw | Cabofriense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 33% | 33% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cabofriense: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Araruama FC | Cabofriense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.8 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Araruama FC 0–1–2 Cabofriense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Cabofriense | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Araruama FC |
| 18/05/24 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Araruama FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cabofriense |
| 08/07/23 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Cabofriense | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Araruama FC |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Americano RJ | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Marica RJ | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Resende RJ | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Perolas Negras | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | America RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | Olaria AC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Sao Goncalo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Cabofriense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Bonsucesso FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Serrano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 11 | Araruama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Araruama FC | Cabofriense |
|---|---|---|
| Olaria AC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| America RJ | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Sao Goncalo | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Resende RJ | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Perolas Negras | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Americano RJ | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Audax Rio | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Bonsucesso FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Cabofriense (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Araruama FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 14/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/06 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Cabofriense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 23/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/06 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Araruama FC vs Cabofriense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Araruama FC win (34%). Probabilities: Araruama FC 34%, draw 32%, Cabofriense 34%.
How many goals are expected in Araruama FC vs Cabofriense?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Araruama FC 1.05 · Cabofriense 1.04), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Araruama FC vs Cabofriense?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.