Prediction: Sao Goncalo vs Audax Rio
Expected goals: 2.05 (Sao Goncalo 1.24 · Audax Rio 0.81). The model gives 45% home, 31% draw, 23% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Sao Goncalo sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while Audax Rio arrives on a 3-0-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Sao Goncalo and 1 for Audax Rio, with 3 draws.
| Sao Goncalo | Draw | Audax Rio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 32% | 23% |
| Market | 46% | 31% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Sao Goncalo: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 13.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sao Goncalo | Audax Rio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7 / 0.1 | 6.7 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Goncalo 2–3–1 Audax Rio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Audax Rio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sao Goncalo |
| 21/11/20 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Sao Goncalo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Audax Rio |
| 01/06/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Audax Rio | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sao Goncalo |
| 02/06/18 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Audax Rio | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sao Goncalo |
| 23/08/17 Brazil Copa Rio | Sao Goncalo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Audax Rio |
| 16/08/17 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Sao Goncalo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Audax Rio |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Americano RJ | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Marica RJ | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Resende RJ | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Perolas Negras | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | America RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | Olaria AC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Sao Goncalo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Cabofriense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Bonsucesso FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Serrano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 11 | Araruama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sao Goncalo | Audax Rio |
|---|---|---|
| Serrano | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Bonsucesso FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Araruama FC | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Olaria AC | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| America RJ | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Cabofriense | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Resende RJ | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Marica RJ | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Americano RJ | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Sao Goncalo (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sao Goncalo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Serrano Brazil Copa Rio |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 20/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Serrano Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/06 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 13/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Audax Rio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 20/06 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 16/05 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/05 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sao Goncalo vs Audax Rio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sao Goncalo win (45%). Probabilities: Sao Goncalo 45%, draw 31%, Audax Rio 23%.
How many goals are expected in Sao Goncalo vs Audax Rio?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Sao Goncalo 1.24 · Audax Rio 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sao Goncalo vs Audax Rio?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.