Prediction: America RJ vs Serrano
Expected goals: 2.37 (America RJ 1.41 · Serrano 0.95). The model gives 46% home, 30% draw, 24% away. Over 1.75 goals (58%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves America RJ with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Serrano has piled up 1-6-3 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, America RJ won 1 and Serrano 2, with 1 draw.
| America RJ | Draw | Serrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 46% | 31% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Serrano: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America RJ | Serrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 6.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · America RJ 1–1–2 Serrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/24 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Serrano | 2-2 HT 2-1 | America RJ |
| 04/08/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Serrano | 1-2 HT 0-0 | America RJ |
| 15/08/18 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | America RJ | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Serrano |
| 30/07/17 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Serrano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | America RJ |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Americano RJ | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Marica RJ | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Resende RJ | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Perolas Negras | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | America RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | Olaria AC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Sao Goncalo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Cabofriense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Bonsucesso FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Serrano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 11 | Araruama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | America RJ | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Bonsucesso FC | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Olaria AC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Cabofriense | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Sao Goncalo | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Resende RJ | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 4 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
America RJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 10/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 03/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Serrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Copa Rio |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 10 | L |
| 20/06 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 06/06 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 16/05 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in America RJ vs Serrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a America RJ win (46%). Probabilities: America RJ 46%, draw 30%, Serrano 24%.
How many goals are expected in America RJ vs Serrano?
The model expects 2.37 goals (America RJ 1.41 · Serrano 0.95), with a 58% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in America RJ vs Serrano?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.