Football · Finland Kolmonen · 20/08, 18:30

Prediction: PiPS vs SalPa 2

Team pages: PiPS · SalPa 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

PiPS1.36

SalPa 21.8

1X2

29% 23% 48%

PiPS Draw SalPa 2

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

PiPS 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLLLL

SalPa 2 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDWLDWLL

Head-to-head

PiPS 0–3 SalPa 2 (3 last)

SalPa 22-1PiPS
SalPa 23-1PiPS
PiPS1-4SalPa 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PiPS 1422 · SalPa 2 1501

	PiPS	Draw	SalPa 2
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	30%	21%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SalPa 2 (rating 1422 vs 1501).
H2H favours SalPa 2: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PiPS	SalPa 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/43/57%	22/67/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.4	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.20

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:27 +14’	3.00	4.20	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PiPS 0–0–3 SalPa 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	SalPa 2	2-1 HT 0-1	PiPS
11/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	SalPa 2	3-1 HT 1-0	PiPS
06/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	PiPS	1-4 HT 0-1	SalPa 2

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Mariehamn II	15	11	1	3	38	14	34
2	EuPa	15	10	3	2	33	11	33
3	PIF Parainen	14	9	2	3	28	14	29
4	MaPS	15	7	2	6	24	24	23
5	Peimari United	15	5	7	3	26	18	22
6	VG-62	14	7	0	7	19	18	21
7	SalPa 2	15	6	3	6	20	20	21
8	LTU	15	6	2	7	18	20	20
9	KaaPo	15	6	0	9	26	33	18
10	JyTy	15	3	3	9	17	38	12
11	ACF	15	2	5	8	13	31	11
12	PiPS	15	2	2	11	14	35	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PiPS	SalPa 2
ACF	1-2 L	0-0 D
EuPa	1-4 L	0-1 L
LTU	2-4 L	1-2 L
IFK Mariehamn II	1-3 L	0-2 L
Peimari United	2-2 D	1-1 D
VG-62	0-3 L	3-1 W
JyTy	1-0 W	2-3 L
KaaPo	1-0 W	2-0 W
PIF Parainen	1-3 L	1-1 D
MaPS	2-3 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 7 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SalPa 2 (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PiPS

LLWWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	ACF Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	11	0	L
08/08	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
31/07	LTU Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L
25/07	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
25/06	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
17/06	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
11/06	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
03/06	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
28/05	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-3	10	3	L
22/05	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L

SalPa 2

DLWDWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	LTU Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	7	3	L
08/08	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
28/07	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	2	2	W
25/07	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
01/07	JyTy Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	9	5	L
23/06	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
14/06	PIF Parainen Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
02/06	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-2	3	0	W
30/05	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
22/05	ACF Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PiPS vs SalPa 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SalPa 2 win (48%). Probabilities: PiPS 29%, draw 23%, SalPa 2 48%.

How many goals are expected in PiPS vs SalPa 2?

The model expects 3.16 goals (PiPS 1.36 · SalPa 2 1.8), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in PiPS vs SalPa 2?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.