Prediction: EPS Reservi vs Gilla FC
Team pages: EPS Reservi · Gilla FC
- Gilla FC5-1EPS Reservi
| EPS Reservi | Draw | Gilla FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 21% | 50% |
| Market | 30% | 20% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gilla FC (rating 1433 vs 1501).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| EPS Reservi | Gilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 3 | 1.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 56/33/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.6 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS Reservi 0–0–1 Gilla FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | Gilla FC | 5-1 HT 2-0 | EPS Reservi |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EIF Academy | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 59 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | ESPA | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | LePa | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 28 | 35 |
| 4 | Poxyt | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 26 |
| 5 | LoPa | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 23 |
| 6 | NuPS | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 22 |
| 7 | GrIFK Reservi | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 20 |
| 8 | Gilla FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 35 | 20 |
| 9 | PPJ/Ruoholahti | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 15 |
| 10 | HooGee | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 45 | 13 |
| 11 | MPS | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 13 |
| 12 | EPS Reservi | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 13 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | EPS Reservi | Gilla FC |
|---|---|---|
| HooGee | 0-2 L | 6-3 W |
| Poxyt | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| EIF Academy | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| LoPa | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| GrIFK Reservi | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| PPJ/Ruoholahti | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| LePa | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| MPS | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| ESPA | 2-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Gilla FC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EPS Reservi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | HooGee Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/08 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | LePa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/06 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
2-3 | 2-9 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | MPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/06 | ESPA Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
Gilla FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/08 | ESPA Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | MPS Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/07 | LePa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | HooGee Finland Kolmonen |
3-2 | 6-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | NuPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EPS Reservi vs Gilla FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gilla FC win (50%). Probabilities: EPS Reservi 30%, draw 20%, Gilla FC 50%.
How many goals are expected in EPS Reservi vs Gilla FC?
The model expects 4.2 goals (EPS Reservi 1.83 · Gilla FC 2.37), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in EPS Reservi vs Gilla FC?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.