Prediction: Gnistan/Ogeli vs TuPS
Team pages: Gnistan/Ogeli · TuPS
- TuPS5-0Gnistan/Ogeli
- TuPS0-3Gnistan/Ogeli
- Gnistan/Ogeli1-3TuPS
| Gnistan/Ogeli | Draw | TuPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| Market | 28% | 21% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours TuPS: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gnistan/Ogeli | TuPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 2.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/0/63% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.5 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gnistan/Ogeli 1–0–2 TuPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | TuPS | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Gnistan/Ogeli |
| 15/08/24 Finland Kolmonen | TuPS | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Gnistan/Ogeli |
| 09/05/24 Finland Kolmonen | Gnistan/Ogeli | 1-3 HT 1-0 | TuPS |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Futura | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 15 | 41 |
| 2 | Sibbov | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 24 | 29 |
| 3 | JäPS/47 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | RiPS | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Lahti II | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 19 | 24 |
| 6 | Atlantis II | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 45 | 18 |
| 7 | TuPS | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 16 |
| 8 | Gnistan/Ogeli | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 15 |
| 9 | Ponnistus | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 40 | 15 |
| 10 | ToTe/Tapio | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 46 | 9 |
| 11 | TiPS U21 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gnistan/Ogeli | TuPS |
|---|---|---|
| ToTe/Tapio | 3-4 L | 1-3 L |
| RiPS | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| TiPS U21 | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| JäPS/47 | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Lahti II | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Futura | 0-8 L | 0-1 L |
| Ponnistus | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Atlantis II | 1-1 D | 7-2 W |
| Sibbov | 1-3 L | 3-6 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gnistan/Ogeli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/07 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | TuPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
TuPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | RiPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/08 | Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 7-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/07 | FC Futura Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/07 | TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | Sibbov Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | MK United Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gnistan/Ogeli vs TuPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an TuPS win (52%). Probabilities: Gnistan/Ogeli 27%, draw 21%, TuPS 52%.
How many goals are expected in Gnistan/Ogeli vs TuPS?
The model expects 4.02 goals (Gnistan/Ogeli 1.69 · TuPS 2.33), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gnistan/Ogeli vs TuPS?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.