Football · Finland Kolmonen · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: GrIFK Reservi vs HooGee

Team pages: GrIFK Reservi · HooGee

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.27Total
GrIFK Reservi2.95
HooGee1.32
1X2
70% 16% 14%
GrIFK Reservi Draw HooGee
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
GrIFK Reservi 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLLWWW
HooGee 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLLLLW
Head-to-head
GrIFK Reservi 2–3 HooGee (5 last)
  • HooGee2-1GrIFK Reservi
  • HooGee2-0GrIFK Reservi
  • GrIFK Reservi3-2HooGee
  • HooGee1-2GrIFK Reservi
  • GrIFK Reservi0-1HooGee
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GrIFK Reservi 1528 · HooGee 1439
GrIFK ReserviDrawHooGee
Our model70%16%14%
Market71%15%14%
Estimated total (ours) 4.27 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GrIFK Reservi (rating 1528 vs 1439).
  • H2H favours HooGee: 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GrIFK ReserviHooGee
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.51.9 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/11/33%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.82.6 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.12.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · GrIFK Reservi 203 HooGee

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
HooGee2-1
HT 1-1
GrIFK Reservi
14/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
HooGee2-0
HT 1-0
GrIFK Reservi
07/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
GrIFK Reservi3-2
HT 3-1
HooGee
15/08/24
Finland Kolmonen
HooGee1-2
HT 1-0
GrIFK Reservi
08/05/24
Finland Kolmonen
GrIFK Reservi0-1
HT 0-1
HooGee

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EIF Academy 171232 602339
2 ESPA 171232 421539
3 LePa 171124 372835
4 Poxyt 17827 363626
5 LoPa 17737 282824
6 NuPS 17656 282423
7 Gilla FC 17638 343721
8 GrIFK Reservi 16628 303120
9 PPJ/Ruoholahti 17539 254218
10 EPS Reservi 17359 244814
11 HooGee 164111 294513
12 MPS 173410 153113

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrIFK ReserviHooGee
Poxyt 3-1 W 1-2 L
PPJ/Ruoholahti 3-2 W 2-3 L
MPS 3-0 W 0-2 L
EIF Academy 1-2 L 2-4 L
EPS Reservi 0-2 L 2-0 W
NuPS 0-3 L 3-4 L
ESPA 4-2 W 0-3 L
LoPa 2-1 W 2-1 W
LePa 4-0 W 4-5 L
Gilla FC 1-2 L 3-6 L
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: GrIFK Reservi (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GrIFK Reservi

LWWWLLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Poxyt
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 3-1 74 W
16/08 PPJ/Ruoholahti
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-2 31 W
06/08 MPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-0 52 W
30/07 EIF Academy
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-2 38 L
26/07 EPS Reservi
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 82 L
03/07 NuPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 L
28/06 ESPA
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-2 55 W
12/06 LoPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 85 W
07/06 LePa
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-0 43 W
27/05 Gilla FC
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-2 95 L

HooGee

WLLLLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/08 EPS Reservi
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-0 54 W
13/08 LePa
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 4-5 33 L
06/08 PPJ/Ruoholahti
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-3 22 L
31/07 NuPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-4 14 L
23/07 Poxyt
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-2 64 L
01/07 Gilla FC
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 3-6 71 L
25/06 EIF Academy
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 2-4 41 L
12/06 ESPA
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 0-3 13 L
05/06 MPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 53 L
29/05 LoPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GrIFK Reservi vs HooGee?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GrIFK Reservi win (70%). Probabilities: GrIFK Reservi 70%, draw 16%, HooGee 14%.

How many goals are expected in GrIFK Reservi vs HooGee?

The model expects 4.27 goals (GrIFK Reservi 2.95 · HooGee 1.32), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in GrIFK Reservi vs HooGee?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.