Football · Brazil Serie B · 11/10, 21:10

Prediction: Atletico GO vs Sport Recife

Team pages: Atletico GO · Sport Recife

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Atletico GO1.68
Sport Recife1
1X2
52% 27% 21%
Atletico GO Draw Sport Recife
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico GO 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWDWWLWWL
Sport Recife 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Atletico GO 2–3–1 Sport Recife (6 last)
  • Sport Recife1-1Atletico GO
  • Sport Recife0-0Atletico GO
  • Atletico GO3-1Sport Recife
  • Sport Recife2-0Atletico GO
  • Atletico GO1-1Sport Recife
  • Sport Recife0-1Atletico GO
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico GO 1549 · Sport Recife 1513
Atletico GODrawSport Recife
Our model52%27%21%
Market52%27%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Atletico GO: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico GOSport Recife
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.71.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 62.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.13.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico GO 2–3–1 Sport Recife

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/06/26
Brazil Serie B
Sport Recife1-1
HT 1-0
Atletico GO
11/11/23
Brazil Serie B
Sport Recife0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico GO
15/07/23
Brazil Serie B
Atletico GO3-1
HT 3-1
Sport Recife
01/11/21
Brazil Serie A
Sport Recife2-0
HT 0-0
Atletico GO
08/07/21
Brazil Serie A
Atletico GO1-1
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
24/11/20
Brazil Serie A
Sport Recife0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico GO

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EC Juventude 321787 371959
2 Vila Nova 321778 443158
3 Gremio Novorizontino 321697 542757
4 Fortaleza 3215116 372756
5 Criciuma 321589 332853
6 Atletico GO 3214108 403052
7 CRB 3215611 494551
8 Sport Recife 3213118 443450
9 Operario PR 3213910 444348
10 Cuiaba 3211147 322547
11 Goias 3213613 324045
12 Sao Bernardo SP 3212911 443445
13 Nautico 3211912 394042
14 Ceara 3211912 353942
15 Athletic Club MG 32101210 383742
16 Botafogo SP 3210814 363838
17 Avai 329617 324333
18 Londrina 327718 404728
19 America MG 324523 215317
20 Ponte Preta 323425 176813

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico GOSport Recife
CRB 1-3 L 1-2 L
America MG 2-0 W 3-0 W
Sao Bernardo SP 0-1 L 2-1 W
Ceara 2-1 W 1-2 L
EC Juventude 2-2 D 2-1 W
Avai 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sport Recife (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico GO

DWWDWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/10 CRB
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-3 73 L
03/10 America MG
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 83 W
26/09 Goias
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 74 W
19/09 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 102 L
13/09 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
2-0 4-0 36 W
10/09 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
2-1 2-1 35 W
05/09 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
1-2 2-2 38 D
30/08 Avai
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 72 W
26/08 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
2-0 3-0 74 W
19/08 Londrina
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 52 D

Sport Recife

LWLLWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/10 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-1 57 W
02/10 Athletic Club MG
Brazil Serie B
2-1 2-1 64 W
26/09 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-3 92 L
19/09 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
1-1 2-1 26 W
16/09 CRB
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-2 36 L
11/09 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
2-0 2-0 74 W
05/09 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-2 92 L
29/08 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-2 33 L
25/08 America MG
Brazil Serie B
2-0 3-0 50 W
20/08 Avai
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-2 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico GO vs Sport Recife?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico GO win (52%). Probabilities: Atletico GO 52%, draw 27%, Sport Recife 21%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico GO vs Sport Recife?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Atletico GO 1.68 · Sport Recife 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico GO vs Sport Recife?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.