Prediction: Alftanes vs Ellidi
- Ellidi2-5Alftanes
- Ellidi3-1Alftanes
- Alftanes1-0Ellidi
- Ellidi1-5Alftanes
- Alftanes0-0Ellidi
| Alftanes | Draw | Ellidi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 12% |
| Market | 86% | 8% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alftanes (rating 1635 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Alftanes: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alftanes | Ellidi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 5.9 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.3 | 2.5 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.6 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alftanes 3–1–1 Ellidi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Iceland 4 Deild | Ellidi | 2-5 HT 1-1 | Alftanes |
| 03/09/25 Iceland 4 Deild | Ellidi | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Alftanes |
| 03/07/25 Iceland 4 Deild | Alftanes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ellidi |
| 17/08/20 Iceland 3 Deild | Ellidi | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Alftanes |
| 18/06/20 Iceland 3 Deild | Alftanes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ellidi |
Standings · Iceland 4 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alftanes | 17 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 48 |
| 2 | Hamar Hveragerdi | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 73 | 23 | 44 |
| 3 | Arborg | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 33 |
| 4 | Ellidi | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 44 | 23 |
| 5 | Vaengir Jupiters | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 41 | 48 | 22 |
| 6 | KFR Hvolsvöllur | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 54 | 18 |
| 7 | Ulfarnir | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 48 | 16 |
| 8 | IH Hafnarfjordur | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 72 | 14 |
| 9 | Alafoss | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 51 | 11 |
| 10 | KF Hafnir | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 71 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alftanes | Ellidi |
|---|---|---|
| Arborg | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| IH Hafnarfjordur | 16-0 W | 2-2 D |
| KF Hafnir | 7-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Ulfarnir | 10-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Alafoss | 7-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Vaengir Jupiters | 5-0 W | 6-4 W |
| KFR Hvolsvöllur | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Hamar Hveragerdi | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Alftanes (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alftanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/08 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
4-0 | 16-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
4-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/08 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
4-0 | 10-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
5-1 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/07 | Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/06 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Ellidi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/08 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 20/08 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/08 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
2-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 22/07 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild |
4-2 | 6-4 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
1-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/06 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alftanes vs Ellidi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alftanes win (81%). Probabilities: Alftanes 81%, draw 11%, Ellidi 8%.
How many goals are expected in Alftanes vs Ellidi?
The model expects 4.87 goals (Alftanes 3.44 · Ellidi 1.44), with a 56% chance of under 5.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alftanes vs Ellidi?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.