Football · Iceland 4 Deild · 03/09, 22:00

Prediction: IH Hafnarfjordur vs KFR Hvolsvöllur

Team pages: IH Hafnarfjordur · KFR Hvolsvöllur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.55Total

IH Hafnarfjordur1.86

KFR Hvolsvöllur2.68

1X2

26% 19% 55%

IH Hafnarfjordur Draw KFR Hvolsvöllur

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

IH Hafnarfjordur 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWLLDL

KFR Hvolsvöllur 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLDWWW

Head-to-head

IH Hafnarfjordur 1–0 KFR Hvolsvöllur (1 last)

KFR Hvolsvöllur1-2IH Hafnarfjordur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IH Hafnarfjordur 1440 · KFR Hvolsvöllur 1479

	IH Hafnarfjordur	Draw	KFR Hvolsvöllur
Our model	26%	19%	55%
Market	26%	18%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 4.55 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IH Hafnarfjordur	KFR Hvolsvöllur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 4.7	2.1 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.8	1 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X5.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.95

Under 4.51.85

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 5.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:09 +3’	3.40	5.00	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IH Hafnarfjordur 1–0–0 KFR Hvolsvöllur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/06/26 Iceland 4 Deild	KFR Hvolsvöllur	1-2 HT 1-0	IH Hafnarfjordur

Standings · Iceland 4 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alftanes	16	15	0	1	77	16	45
2	Hamar Hveragerdi	16	14	1	1	72	22	43
3	Arborg	16	10	3	3	47	15	33
4	Ellidi	16	6	4	6	40	43	22
5	Vaengir Jupiters	16	5	4	7	38	47	19
6	KFR Hvolsvöllur	16	5	3	8	38	51	18
7	Ulfarnir	16	3	7	6	36	44	16
8	IH Hafnarfjordur	16	3	2	11	33	70	11
9	KF Hafnir	16	2	4	10	26	68	10
10	Alafoss	16	2	2	12	20	51	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IH Hafnarfjordur	KFR Hvolsvöllur
Alftanes	0-16 L	1-3 L
Ellidi	2-2 D	1-4 L
Arborg	0-4 L	0-4 L
Hamar Hveragerdi	1-7 L	2-7 L
KF Hafnir	5-2 W	5-3 W
Ulfarnir	1-8 L	2-0 W
Alafoss	2-4 L	3-2 W
Vaengir Jupiters	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: KFR Hvolsvöllur (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IH Hafnarfjordur

LWDLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild	0-4	0-16	4	3	L
20/08	Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild	1-2	2-2	9	6	D
14/08	Arborg Iceland 4 Deild	0-0	0-4	2	4	L
07/08	Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild	0-2	1-7	3	3	L
23/07	KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild	1-1	5-2	5	5	W
17/07	Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild	1-4	1-8	–	–	L
11/07	Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild	0-2	2-4	3	5	L
02/07	Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
24/06	KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
18/06	Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild	0-1	1-2	3	5	L

KFR Hvolsvöllur

DLLLLLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild	1-3	5-3	–	–	W
20/08	Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
15/08	Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
07/08	Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/07	Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild	1-3	2-7	–	–	L
17/07	Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild	1-0	1-3	1	3	L
13/07	Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
02/07	Arborg Iceland 4 Deild	0-2	0-4	5	4	L
24/06	IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
18/06	KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild	3-2	4-4	7	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IH Hafnarfjordur vs KFR Hvolsvöllur?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KFR Hvolsvöllur win (55%). Probabilities: IH Hafnarfjordur 26%, draw 19%, KFR Hvolsvöllur 55%.

How many goals are expected in IH Hafnarfjordur vs KFR Hvolsvöllur?

The model expects 4.55 goals (IH Hafnarfjordur 1.86 · KFR Hvolsvöllur 2.68), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IH Hafnarfjordur vs KFR Hvolsvöllur?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.