Football · Iceland 4 Deild · 20/08, 21:15
Prediction: Alafoss vs Vaengir Jupiters
Team pages: Alafoss · Vaengir Jupiters
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.43Total
Alafoss2.24
Vaengir Jupiters2.2
1X2
Alafoss
Draw
Vaengir Jupiters
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
Alafoss
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Vaengir Jupiters
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alafoss
0–3
Vaengir Jupiters
(3 last)
- Vaengir Jupiters3-1Alafoss
- Vaengir Jupiters6-2Alafoss
- Vaengir Jupiters7-0Alafoss
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vaengir Jupiters (rating 1420 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Vaengir Jupiters: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alafoss | Vaengir Jupiters | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 2.3 / 3.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 2.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alafoss 0–0–3 Vaengir Jupiters
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/26 Iceland 4 Deild | Vaengir Jupiters | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Alafoss |
| 16/03/23 Iceland League Cup C | Vaengir Jupiters | 6-2 HT 4-1 | Alafoss |
| 08/04/22 Iceland Cup | Vaengir Jupiters | 7-0 HT 2-0 | Alafoss |
Standings · Iceland 4 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alftanes | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 15 | 39 |
| 2 | Hamar Hveragerdi | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 65 | 21 | 37 |
| 3 | Arborg | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 11 | 32 |
| 4 | Ellidi | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 39 | 20 |
| 5 | Ulfarnir | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 38 | 16 |
| 6 | Vaengir Jupiters | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 45 | 13 |
| 7 | KFR Hvolsvöllur | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 48 | 12 |
| 8 | IH Hafnarfjordur | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 52 | 10 |
| 9 | KF Hafnir | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 56 | 10 |
| 10 | Alafoss | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alafoss | Vaengir Jupiters |
|---|---|---|
| KFR Hvolsvöllur | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Alftanes | 2-7 L | 0-5 L |
| Ellidi | 0-1 L | 4-6 L |
| Arborg | 0-4 L | 3-3 D |
| IH Hafnarfjordur | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| KF Hafnir | 3-3 D | 6-0 W |
| Ulfarnir | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Hamar Hveragerdi | 1-6 L | 0-8 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alafoss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
1-5 | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 17/07 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 02/07 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
3-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/06 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/06 | Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Vaengir Jupiters
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-3 | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 07/08 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 23/07 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/06 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
2-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alafoss vs Vaengir Jupiters?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alafoss win (40%). Probabilities: Alafoss 40%, draw 21%, Vaengir Jupiters 39%.
How many goals are expected in Alafoss vs Vaengir Jupiters?
The model expects 4.43 goals (Alafoss 2.24 · Vaengir Jupiters 2.2), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alafoss vs Vaengir Jupiters?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.