Football · Iceland 4 Deild · 20/08, 22:15

Prediction: Ulfarnir vs KFR Hvolsvöllur

Team pages: Ulfarnir · KFR Hvolsvöllur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.58Total

Ulfarnir2.54

KFR Hvolsvöllur2.04

1X2

49% 20% 31%

Ulfarnir Draw KFR Hvolsvöllur

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Ulfarnir 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDDDWLDL

KFR Hvolsvöllur 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Ulfarnir 1–1–1 KFR Hvolsvöllur (3 last)

KFR Hvolsvöllur3-3Ulfarnir
Ulfarnir3-2KFR Hvolsvöllur
KFR Hvolsvöllur5-2Ulfarnir

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ulfarnir	KFR Hvolsvöllur
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 3.1	1.9 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.5	1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.9	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.85

Under 4.51.85

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 5.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.13
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.58 ★
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +3’	2.10	4.33	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:19	2.35	4.46	2.10
14:56 +4’	2.13▼	4.58▲	2.29▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulfarnir 1–1–1 KFR Hvolsvöllur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Iceland 4 Deild	KFR Hvolsvöllur	3-3 HT 3-1	Ulfarnir
19/08/25 Iceland 5 Deild	Ulfarnir	3-2 HT 2-0	KFR Hvolsvöllur
23/06/25 Iceland 5 Deild	KFR Hvolsvöllur	5-2 HT 2-0	Ulfarnir

Standings · Iceland 4 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alftanes	14	13	0	1	54	15	39
2	Hamar Hveragerdi	14	12	1	1	65	21	37
3	Arborg	14	10	2	2	44	11	32
4	Ellidi	14	6	2	6	36	39	20
5	Ulfarnir	14	3	7	4	34	38	16
6	Vaengir Jupiters	14	3	4	7	30	45	13
7	KFR Hvolsvöllur	14	3	3	8	31	48	12
8	IH Hafnarfjordur	14	3	1	10	31	52	10
9	KF Hafnir	14	2	4	8	22	56	10
10	Alafoss	14	2	2	10	20	42	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ulfarnir	KFR Hvolsvöllur
Alftanes	0-10 L	1-3 L
Ellidi	3-3 D	1-4 L
Arborg	0-2 L	0-4 L
IH Hafnarfjordur	8-1 W	1-2 L
KF Hafnir	3-3 D	4-4 D
Hamar Hveragerdi	2-2 D	2-7 L
Alafoss	2-2 D	3-2 W
Vaengir Jupiters	3-3 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Ulfarnir (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ulfarnir

LDDDDDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild	0-4	0-10	1	1	L
07/08	Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild	1-1	3-3	3	1	D
24/07	Arborg Iceland 4 Deild	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
17/07	IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild	4-1	8-1	–	–	W
11/07	KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
02/07	Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild	1-2	2-2	11	2	D
25/06	Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild	1-1	2-2	7	4	D
19/06	Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
12/06	KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild	1-3	3-3	6	1	D
05/06	Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild	0-1	1-2	2	5	L

KFR Hvolsvöllur

WDDLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
07/08	Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/07	Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild	1-3	2-7	–	–	L
17/07	Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild	1-0	1-3	1	3	L
13/07	Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
02/07	Arborg Iceland 4 Deild	0-2	0-4	5	4	L
24/06	IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
18/06	KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild	3-2	4-4	7	7	D
12/06	Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild	3-1	3-3	5	1	D
04/06	Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild	0-1	2-1	9	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ulfarnir vs KFR Hvolsvöllur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ulfarnir win (49%). Probabilities: Ulfarnir 49%, draw 20%, KFR Hvolsvöllur 31%.

How many goals are expected in Ulfarnir vs KFR Hvolsvöllur?

The model expects 4.58 goals (Ulfarnir 2.54 · KFR Hvolsvöllur 2.04), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ulfarnir vs KFR Hvolsvöllur?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.