Prediction: KFR Hvolsvöllur vs Alftanes
| KFR Hvolsvöllur | Draw | Alftanes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 11% | 12% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alftanes (rating 1444 vs 1584).
- High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KFR Hvolsvöllur | Alftanes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 3.4 | 2.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.7 | 3.6 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KFR Hvolsvöllur 0–1–1 Alftanes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Iceland 4 Deild | Alftanes | 3-2 HT 2-1 | KFR Hvolsvöllur |
| 16/03/22 Iceland League Cup C | Alftanes | 2-2 HT 0-1 | KFR Hvolsvöllur |
Standings · Iceland 4 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alftanes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Hamar Hveragerdi | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Arborg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Ellidi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 29 | 13 |
| 5 | Ulfarnir | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 22 | 12 |
| 6 | Vaengir Jupiters | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 11 |
| 7 | KFR Hvolsvöllur | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 34 | 8 |
| 8 | Alafoss | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
| 9 | IH Hafnarfjordur | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 7 |
| 10 | KF Hafnir | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KFR Hvolsvöllur | Alftanes |
|---|---|---|
| Ellidi | 1-4 L | 5-2 W |
| Arborg | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| IH Hafnarfjordur | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| KF Hafnir | 4-4 D | 5-0 W |
| Ulfarnir | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| Alafoss | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Vaengir Jupiters | 5-3 W | 3-1 W |
| Hamar Hveragerdi | 2-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 7 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Alftanes (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KFR Hvolsvöllur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/07 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/06 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
3-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 12/06 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
3-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 04/06 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild |
3-0 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
Alftanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/07 | Fjolnir Iceland Lower League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 01/07 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/06 | Arborg Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/06 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/06 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
5-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/06 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | Vaengir Jupiters Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KFR Hvolsvöllur vs Alftanes?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alftanes win (76%). Probabilities: KFR Hvolsvöllur 11%, draw 13%, Alftanes 76%.
How many goals are expected in KFR Hvolsvöllur vs Alftanes?
The model expects 4.76 goals (KFR Hvolsvöllur 1.38 · Alftanes 3.38), with a 55% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in KFR Hvolsvöllur vs Alftanes?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.