Football · Iceland 4 Deild · 11/07, 16:00

Prediction: IH Hafnarfjordur vs Alafoss

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.65Total
IH Hafnarfjordur2.72
Alafoss1.94
1X2
54% 20% 27%
IH Hafnarfjordur Draw Alafoss
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
IH Hafnarfjordur 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLLWD
Alafoss 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLLLDD
Head-to-head
IH Hafnarfjordur 0–1 Alafoss (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IH Hafnarfjordur 1452 · Alafoss 1418
IH HafnarfjordurDrawAlafoss
Our model54%19%27%
Market54%20%26%
Estimated total (ours) 4.65 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

IH HafnarfjordurAlafoss
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 3.61.3 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 1.50.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.31.5 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.33.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · IH Hafnarfjordur 001 Alafoss

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
07/05/26
Iceland 4 Deild
Alafoss2-1
HT 0-1
IH Hafnarfjordur

Standings · Iceland 4 Deild

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Alftanes 9900 28927
2 Hamar Hveragerdi 9711 371622
3 Arborg 9612 26619
4 Ulfarnir 9252 201911
5 Vaengir Jupiters 9324 212111
6 Ellidi 9315 202810
7 KFR Hvolsvöllur 9225 22308
8 IH Hafnarfjordur 9216 22277
9 KF Hafnir 9135 11386
10 Alafoss 9126 12255

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIH HafnarfjordurAlafoss
Vaengir Jupiters 1-1 D 1-3 L
KFR Hvolsvöllur 2-1 W 1-2 L
Alftanes 1-2 L 1-2 L
Ellidi 2-6 L 1-3 L
Arborg 1-2 L 0-3 L
Hamar Hveragerdi 4-7 L 1-6 L
KF Hafnir 8-2 W 3-3 D
Ulfarnir 2-4 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: IH Hafnarfjordur (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IH Hafnarfjordur

LLLWLLLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Vaengir Jupiters
Iceland 4 Deild
1-1 1-1 76 D
24/06 KFR Hvolsvöllur
Iceland 4 Deild
0-1 2-1 W
18/06 Alftanes
Iceland 4 Deild
0-1 1-2 35 L
11/06 Ellidi
Iceland 4 Deild
1-4 2-6 64 L
04/06 Arborg
Iceland 4 Deild
0-1 1-2 45 L
31/05 Hamar Hveragerdi
Iceland 4 Deild
3-2 4-7 L
21/05 KF Hafnir
Iceland 4 Deild
5-1 8-2 43 W
14/05 Ulfarnir
Iceland 4 Deild
2-1 2-4 82 L
07/05 Alafoss
Iceland 4 Deild
1-0 1-2 L
13/09 Ymir Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-3 0-9 L

Alafoss

LWLLLLLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 KF Hafnir
Iceland 4 Deild
3-1 3-3 D
25/06 Ulfarnir
Iceland 4 Deild
1-1 2-2 44 D
18/06 Hamar Hveragerdi
Iceland 4 Deild
1-3 1-6 21 L
11/06 Vaengir Jupiters
Iceland 4 Deild
0-3 1-3 26 L
04/06 KFR Hvolsvöllur
Iceland 4 Deild
1-0 1-2 45 L
31/05 Alftanes
Iceland 4 Deild
0-0 1-2 L
21/05 Ellidi
Iceland 4 Deild
1-1 1-3 43 L
14/05 Arborg
Iceland 4 Deild
0-1 0-3 25 L
07/05 IH Hafnarfjordur
Iceland 4 Deild
0-1 2-1 W
18/03 Fjolnir
Iceland Cup
0-1 1-4 21 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IH Hafnarfjordur vs Alafoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IH Hafnarfjordur win (54%). Probabilities: IH Hafnarfjordur 54%, draw 20%, Alafoss 27%.

How many goals are expected in IH Hafnarfjordur vs Alafoss?

The model expects 4.65 goals (IH Hafnarfjordur 2.72 · Alafoss 1.94), with a 54% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IH Hafnarfjordur vs Alafoss?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.