Football · Brazil Serie B · 03/10, 21:00

Prediction: Atletico GO vs America MG

Team pages: Atletico GO · America MG

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Atletico GO1.97

America MG0.83

1X2

63% 23% 14%

Atletico GO Draw America MG

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico GO 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWWDWWLW

America MG 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Atletico GO 2–2–2 America MG (6 last)

America MG1-2Atletico GO
Atletico GO1-0America MG
America MG2-1Atletico GO
America MG1-1Atletico GO
Atletico GO0-1America MG
America MG0-0Atletico GO

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico GO (rating 1553 vs 1437).
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico GO	America MG
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.5	2.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.01

Under 2.751.79

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Pinn 1.40
X	4.38 → 4.38	Pinn 4.38
2	7.51 → 7.51	Pinn 7.51

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:44 +34’	1.40	4.38	7.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico GO 2–2–2 America MG

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/06/26 Brazil Serie B	America MG	1-2 HT 1-1	Atletico GO
26/09/25 Brazil Serie B	Atletico GO	1-0 HT 0-0	America MG
28/05/25 Brazil Serie B	America MG	2-1 HT 2-1	Atletico GO
13/11/22 Brazil Serie A	America MG	1-1 HT 1-1	Atletico GO
24/07/22 Brazil Serie A	Atletico GO	0-1 HT 0-1	America MG
17/11/21 Brazil Serie A	America MG	0-0 HT 0-0	Atletico GO

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	30	16	6	8	43	31	54
2	Fortaleza	30	14	10	6	35	26	52
3	Gremio Novorizontino	30	14	9	7	49	27	51
4	EC Juventude	29	14	8	7	31	19	50
5	Criciuma	30	14	8	8	31	27	50
6	Atletico GO	30	13	10	7	37	27	49
7	CRB	30	14	6	10	45	41	48
8	Operario PR	30	13	9	8	43	38	48
9	Sport Recife	30	11	11	8	40	32	44
10	Cuiaba	30	10	13	7	30	25	43
11	Goias	30	12	6	12	30	36	42
12	Sao Bernardo SP	30	11	9	10	40	31	42
13	Athletic Club MG	30	10	12	8	36	33	42
14	Nautico	30	11	8	11	38	37	41
15	Ceara	30	9	9	12	33	39	36
16	Botafogo SP	29	8	8	13	32	36	32
17	Avai	30	8	6	16	30	41	30
18	Londrina	30	7	7	16	39	43	28
19	America MG	29	4	5	20	21	49	17
20	Ponte Preta	29	3	4	22	17	62	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico GO	America MG
Goias	1-0 W	1-0 W
Sao Bernardo SP	0-1 L	0-2 L
Botafogo SP	3-0 W	1-2 L
Vila Nova	0-2 L	0-1 L
Nautico	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico GO

DLDWWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Goias Brazil Serie B	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
19/09	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
13/09	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	2-0	4-0	3	6	W
10/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	1-2	2-2	3	8	D
30/08	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
26/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
19/08	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
15/08	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	15	6	L
09/08	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D

America MG

WLLLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Vila Nova Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
15/09	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
10/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
05/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
30/08	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	12	1	W
25/08	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-3	10	0	L
21/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
16/08	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
08/08	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
26/07	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico GO vs America MG?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico GO win (63%). Probabilities: Atletico GO 63%, draw 23%, America MG 14%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico GO vs America MG?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Atletico GO 1.97 · America MG 0.83), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico GO vs America MG?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.