Prediction: FK Jelgava vs Ogre United
Team pages: FK Jelgava · Ogre United
- Ogre United2-3FK Jelgava
- FK Jelgava0-2Ogre United
- Ogre United0-1FK Jelgava
| FK Jelgava | Draw | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Jelgava: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Jelgava | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jelgava 2–0–1 Ogre United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Latvia Virsliga | Ogre United | 2-3 HT 2-1 | FK Jelgava |
| 17/06/26 Latvia Virsliga | FK Jelgava | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ogre United |
| 27/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | Ogre United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Jelgava |
Standings · Latvia Virsliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 87 | 24 | 89 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 95 | 33 | 83 |
| 3 | FK Auda | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 61 | 38 | 70 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 51 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 48 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 35 | 53 | 39 |
| 7 | FK Jelgava | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 61 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Grobinas | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 27 | 64 | 29 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 35 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 44 | 67 | 25 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 35 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 85 | 19 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Jelgava | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| FK Auda | 3-4 L | 1-4 L |
| BFC Daugavpils | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Liepaja | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| RFS | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Riga FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| SC Grobinas | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| SK Super Nova | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Tukums 2000 | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Jelgava (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Jelgava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
Ogre United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 25/10 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/09 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 30/08 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Jelgava vs Ogre United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jelgava win (50%). Probabilities: FK Jelgava 50%, draw 25%, Ogre United 25%.
How many goals are expected in FK Jelgava vs Ogre United?
The model expects 2.93 goals (FK Jelgava 1.74 · Ogre United 1.19), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Jelgava vs Ogre United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.