Football · USA MLS · 07/11, 22:00

Prediction: Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC

Team pages: Inter Miami CF · Charlotte FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Inter Miami CF2.14

Charlotte FC1.21

1X2

58% 22% 20%

Inter Miami CF Draw Charlotte FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Miami CF 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDLWWWLD

Charlotte FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLDLWW

Head-to-head

Inter Miami CF 2–2–2 Charlotte FC (6 last)

Charlotte FC0-0Inter Miami CF
Charlotte FC3-0Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF1-0Charlotte FC
Inter Miami CF1-1Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC1-2Inter Miami CF
Charlotte FC1-0Inter Miami CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Miami CF 1524 · Charlotte FC 1527

	Inter Miami CF	Draw	Charlotte FC
Our model	58%	22%	20%
Market	58%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Miami CF	Charlotte FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.5	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:03 +17’	1.57	4.33	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF 2–2–2 Charlotte FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Inter Miami CF
14/09/25 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Inter Miami CF
09/03/25 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	1-0 HT 0-0	Charlotte FC
29/09/24 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	1-1 HT 0-0	Charlotte FC
04/07/24 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Inter Miami CF
22/10/23 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Inter Miami CF

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	32	21	8	3	66	23	71
2	New England Revolution	32	18	4	10	54	44	58
3	Inter Miami CF	32	15	11	6	75	55	56
4	Chicago Fire	33	16	7	10	61	50	55
5	Charlotte FC	33	15	8	10	63	48	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	13	8	12	62	51	47
7	FC Cincinnati	33	12	10	11	67	73	46
8	Columbus Crew	33	13	5	15	55	49	44
9	Orlando City SC	33	12	7	14	62	78	43
10	New York Red Bulls	32	11	6	15	43	59	39
11	New York City FC	33	9	12	12	48	45	39
12	Toronto FC	32	9	12	11	50	60	39
13	DC United	33	7	12	14	39	60	33
14	Atlanta United	32	8	6	18	40	56	30
15	CF Montreal	33	6	8	19	37	67	26

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Miami CF	Charlotte FC
FC Cincinnati	2-2 D	3-3 D
DC United	4-0 W	2-1 W
Columbus Crew	1-2 L	1-3 L
Chicago Fire	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Miami CF (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Miami CF

DDDDLWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
24/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
18/10	Atlanta United USA MLS	1-0	3-1	2	5	W
15/10	New York City FC USA MLS	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
11/10	DC United USA MLS	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
28/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	1-2	1	11	L
21/09	San Diego FC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
13/09	Nashville SC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
10/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
06/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-1	2-2	6	9	D

Charlotte FC

WDWLWLDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Orlando City SC USA MLS	1-0	4-0	4	5	W
29/10	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-0	4-0	8	3	W
25/10	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-2	2-3	3	2	L
17/10	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	2-2	1	3	D
15/10	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	1-3	4	2	L
11/10	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	3-2	14	2	W
27/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
20/09	DC United USA MLS	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
13/09	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	3-3	3	3	D
10/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	2-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Miami CF win (58%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF 58%, draw 22%, Charlotte FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Inter Miami CF 2.14 · Charlotte FC 1.21), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.