Football · USA MLS · 08/11, 01:00

Prediction: Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC

Team pages: Houston Dynamo · St. Louis City SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Houston Dynamo1.58

St. Louis City SC1.3

1X2

43% 27% 30%

Houston Dynamo Draw St. Louis City SC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Houston Dynamo 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDLDDDDW

St. Louis City SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDLLLL

Head-to-head

Houston Dynamo 2–2–2 St. Louis City SC (6 last)

St. Louis City SC2-1Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City SC2-2Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City SC2-3Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo1-0St. Louis City SC
St. Louis City SC3-0Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo0-0St. Louis City SC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Houston Dynamo	St. Louis City SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.33 → 2.35▲	Pinn 2.35
X	3.54 → 3.58▲	Pinn 3.58
2	2.90 → 2.93▲	Pinn 2.93

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12	2.33	3.54	2.90
05:42 +26’	2.35▲	3.58▲	2.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dynamo 2–2–2 St. Louis City SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 USA MLS	St. Louis City SC	2-1 HT 1-0	Houston Dynamo
20/05/26 USA US Open Cup	St. Louis City SC	2-2 HT 1-2	Houston Dynamo
31/08/25 USA MLS	St. Louis City SC	2-3 HT 0-1	Houston Dynamo
29/06/25 USA MLS	Houston Dynamo	1-0 HT 0-0	St. Louis City SC
06/10/24 USA MLS	St. Louis City SC	3-0 HT 1-0	Houston Dynamo
05/05/24 USA MLS	Houston Dynamo	0-0 HT 0-0	St. Louis City SC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	32	17	7	8	67	33	58
2	FC Dallas	33	15	10	8	59	50	55
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	14	10	9	56	48	52
4	St. Louis City SC	33	14	9	10	58	48	51
5	Houston Dynamo	32	14	9	9	42	39	51
6	Los Angeles FC	32	12	11	9	50	35	47
7	LA Galaxy	33	11	11	11	49	55	44
8	Colorado Rapids	33	12	7	14	46	47	43
9	Seattle Sounders	32	11	10	11	41	40	43
10	Real Salt Lake	33	12	6	15	51	51	42
11	Portland Timbers	32	11	7	14	57	60	40
12	San Diego FC	33	9	11	13	57	62	38
13	Minnesota United	32	9	11	12	50	56	38
14	Austin FC	33	8	10	15	42	63	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	6	5	22	39	81	23

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Houston Dynamo	St. Louis City SC
Minnesota United	0-0 D	2-3 L
San Diego FC	3-3 D	0-1 L
Real Salt Lake	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Houston Dynamo (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Houston Dynamo

DWLDLDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
25/10	Minnesota United USA MLS	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/10	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	2-2	5	9	D
15/10	San Diego FC USA MLS	3-2	3-3	3	6	D
11/10	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
27/09	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-2	0-2	8	6	L
20/09	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-0	2-2	3	0	D
13/09	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
10/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	2-1	1	5	W
06/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	6	8	D

St. Louis City SC

DWWWWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
29/10	Portland Timbers USA MLS	0-2	2-3	5	5	L
25/10	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-1	0-3	0	5	L
17/10	Minnesota United USA MLS	2-0	2-3	7	4	L
15/10	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
12/10	LA Galaxy USA MLS	5-1	6-2	2	4	W
01/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
20/09	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	3-1	8	4	W
13/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	3-1	4-2	6	3	W
10/09	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-1	2-2	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Houston Dynamo win (43%). Probabilities: Houston Dynamo 43%, draw 27%, St. Louis City SC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Houston Dynamo 1.58 · St. Louis City SC 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.