Football · Finland Kolmonen · 26/07, 19:00

Prediction: PPJ/Lauttasaari vs HPS II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.8Total
PPJ/Lauttasaari3.37
HPS II1.42
1X2
74% 14% 12%
PPJ/Lauttasaari Draw HPS II
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
PPJ/Lauttasaari 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWDDWWDLWW
HPS II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLWWLDLL
Head-to-head
PPJ/Lauttasaari 1–0 HPS II (1 last)
  • HPS II2-6PPJ/Lauttasaari
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ/Lauttasaari 1575 · HPS II 1478
PPJ/LauttasaariDrawHPS II
Our model74%14%12%
Market74%14%12%
Estimated total (ours) 4.8 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 88%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PPJ/Lauttasaari (rating 1575 vs 1478).
  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PPJ/LauttasaariHPS II
Goals for / against (FT)3.8 / 1.32.5 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)2 / 0.81.3 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)75/13/13%38/13/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.92.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.13.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ/Lauttasaari 100 HPS II

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
HPS II2-6
HT 1-3
PPJ/Lauttasaari

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MPS/Atletico Malmi 12903 291927
2 ToTe 11812 291125
3 PPJ/Lauttasaari 11731 431624
4 Valtti 11704 232121
5 LPS Helsinki 10514 292616
6 VJS Vantaa II 12426 332414
7 HPS II 11425 272814
8 Atlantis FC/PM 12426 274014
9 Tips Vantaa 11416 242913
10 Töölön Taisto 11263 212312
11 FC Kontu 12246 213110
12 PPS 121011 11493

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPPJ/LauttasaariHPS II
Atlantis FC/PM 6-2 W 4-2 W
PPS 9-0 W 3-2 W
Tips Vantaa 1-2 L 5-1 W
VJS Vantaa II 2-2 D 1-2 L
MPS/Atletico Malmi 4-0 W 1-2 L
Valtti 7-3 W 1-3 L
Töölön Taisto 2-2 D 2-2 D
ToTe 1-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: PPJ/Lauttasaari (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ/Lauttasaari

WWDDWWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 6-2 70 W
26/06 PPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 9-0 52 W
12/06 Tips Vantaa
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
07/06 VJS Vantaa II
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-2 74 D
29/05 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 4-0 15 W
21/05 Valtti
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 7-3 84 W
15/05 Töölön Taisto
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-2 65 D
07/05 FC Kontu
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 82 D
02/05 ToTe
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 W
28/04 HPS II
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 6-2 53 W

HPS II

LWWLWWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 ToTe
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 2-3 55 L
16/06 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-2 36 L
11/06 Töölön Taisto
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-2 45 D
05/06 Valtti
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-3 80 L
28/05 Tips Vantaa
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 5-1 54 W
22/05 LPS Helsinki
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 4-3 83 W
14/05 VJS Vantaa II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 111 L
08/05 PPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
02/05 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
4-2 W
28/04 PPJ/Lauttasaari
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 2-6 83 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs HPS II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PPJ/Lauttasaari win (74%). Probabilities: PPJ/Lauttasaari 74%, draw 14%, HPS II 12%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs HPS II?

The model expects 4.8 goals (PPJ/Lauttasaari 3.37 · HPS II 1.42), with a 54% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs HPS II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.