Football · Finland Kolmonen · 07/08, 18:00

Prediction: FCJ Blackbird vs JJK/2

Team pages: FCJ Blackbird · JJK/2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.5Total

FCJ Blackbird2.78

JJK/21.72

1X2

60% 18% 22%

FCJ Blackbird Draw JJK/2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

FCJ Blackbird 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDLLWD

JJK/2 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLWWD

Head-to-head

FCJ Blackbird 3–2–1 JJK/2 (6 last)

JJK/21-5FCJ Blackbird
FCJ Blackbird3-5JJK/2
JJK/23-4FCJ Blackbird
FCJ Blackbird2-2JJK/2
JJK/21-4FCJ Blackbird
JJK/22-2FCJ Blackbird

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FCJ Blackbird 1526 · JJK/2 1515

	FCJ Blackbird	Draw	JJK/2
Our model	59%	18%	22%
Market	60%	18%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 4.5 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FCJ Blackbird: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FCJ Blackbird	JJK/2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	2.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	38/13/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X5.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.82

Under 4.251.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:55 +4’	1.50	5.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FCJ Blackbird 3–2–1 JJK/2

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	JJK/2	1-5 HT 1-2	FCJ Blackbird
17/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	FCJ Blackbird	3-5 HT 1-1	JJK/2
19/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	JJK/2	3-4 HT 3-1	FCJ Blackbird
30/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	FCJ Blackbird	2-2 HT 1-2	JJK/2
30/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	JJK/2	1-4	FCJ Blackbird
11/08/22 Finland Kolmonen	JJK/2	2-2 HT 0-1	FCJ Blackbird

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JPS	12	8	4	0	39	8	28
2	FCJ Blackbird	12	6	4	2	31	20	22
3	FC Metso	11	6	3	2	30	18	21
4	JJK/2	10	5	1	4	23	22	16
5	KeuPa	11	3	5	3	21	23	14
6	Komeetat	12	3	2	7	16	23	11
7	Savon Pallo	12	3	2	7	20	30	11
8	FC Vaajakoski II	14	2	1	11	19	55	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FCJ Blackbird	JJK/2
JPS	1-1 D	0-4 L
Komeetat	2-0 W	1-1 D
Savon Pallo	0-2 L	2-0 W
FC Vaajakoski II	1-4 L	3-2 W
FC Metso	2-2 D	2-3 L
KeuPa	3-0 W	5-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FCJ Blackbird (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FCJ Blackbird

WWDWWDLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	JPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
22/07	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
17/07	Savon Pallo Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/06	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
16/06	FC Metso Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/06	KeuPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
05/06	JJK/2 Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-1	4	0	W
29/05	JPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
22/05	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	–	4-3	–	–	W
13/05	Savon Pallo Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W

JJK/2

LWWLLWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
24/07	Savon Pallo Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
15/07	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/06	FC Metso Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
17/06	KeuPa Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-3	6	2	W
10/06	JPS Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	0	0	L
05/06	FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-5	5	0	L
27/05	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
15/05	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	–	6-0	–	–	W
06/05	FC Metso Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-4	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FCJ Blackbird vs JJK/2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FCJ Blackbird win (60%). Probabilities: FCJ Blackbird 60%, draw 18%, JJK/2 22%.

How many goals are expected in FCJ Blackbird vs JJK/2?

The model expects 4.5 goals (FCJ Blackbird 2.78 · JJK/2 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FCJ Blackbird vs JJK/2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.