Football · Finland Kolmonen · 17/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Kiisto vs KPV Akatemia

Team pages: FC Kiisto · KPV Akatemia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.57Total
FC Kiisto3.29
KPV Akatemia1.29
1X2
80% 12% 8%
FC Kiisto Draw KPV Akatemia
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Kiisto 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWWDLWWL
KPV Akatemia 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLWLLL
Head-to-head
FC Kiisto 4–2–0 KPV Akatemia (6 last)
  • KPV Akatemia4-4FC Kiisto
  • FC Kiisto3-1KPV Akatemia
  • KPV Akatemia1-4FC Kiisto
  • KPV Akatemia0-1FC Kiisto
  • FC Kiisto7-1KPV Akatemia
  • KPV Akatemia1-1FC Kiisto
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kiisto 1538 · KPV Akatemia 1450
FC KiistoDrawKPV Akatemia
Our model75%14%11%
Market84%10%6%
Estimated total (ours) 4.57 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kiisto (rating 1538 vs 1450).
  • H2H favours FC Kiisto: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC KiistoKPV Akatemia
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.22.2 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.8 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/43/29%11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 61.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.13.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kiisto 420 KPV Akatemia

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
KPV Akatemia4-4
HT 3-0
FC Kiisto
15/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
FC Kiisto3-1
HT 2-0
KPV Akatemia
20/05/25
Finland Kolmonen
KPV Akatemia1-4
HT 1-2
FC Kiisto
10/08/24
Finland Kolmonen
KPV Akatemia0-1
HT 0-0
FC Kiisto
17/05/24
Finland Kolmonen
FC Kiisto7-1
HT 5-1
KPV Akatemia
17/07/23
Finland Kolmonen
KPV Akatemia1-1
HT 0-0
FC Kiisto

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VIFK 141022 391232
2 FC Kiisto 15933 401930
3 Virkia 14725 262123
4 FC Ylivieska 14725 333123
5 VPV Pallo-Veikot 14725 201923
6 SJK-j 15546 232419
7 SIF 14536 232618
8 LBK 15609 233718
9 Sporting Kristina 13436 161815
10 Nykarleby IK 14347 183413
11 KPV Akatemia 142111 27477

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC KiistoKPV Akatemia
VPV Pallo-Veikot 1-2 L 0-1 L
SJK-j 2-1 W 3-6 L
SIF 5-1 W 2-3 L
FC Ylivieska 0-1 L 5-3 W
Nykarleby IK 0-0 D 1-2 L
Sääripotku 2-0 W 5-0 W
VIFK 1-2 L 1-7 L
Virkia 3-3 D 2-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kiisto (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kiisto

WDLWWDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-2 72 L
07/08 SJK-j
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
30/07 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 5-1 45 W
23/07 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-1 153 L
16/07 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 42 D
07/07 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 5-1 71 W
03/07 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 W
25/06 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
17/06 Virkia
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 3-3 21 D
10/06 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 36 W

KPV Akatemia

LWLWLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 LBK
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-3 83 L
04/08 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 72 L
29/07 Virkia
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-4 46 L
23/07 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 54 W
16/07 SJK-j
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 3-6 22 L
01/07 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-3 11 L
23/06 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 5-3 17 W
18/06 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 62 L
10/06 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 W
03/06 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
1-4 1-7 01 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kiisto vs KPV Akatemia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kiisto win (80%). Probabilities: FC Kiisto 80%, draw 12%, KPV Akatemia 8%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kiisto vs KPV Akatemia?

The model expects 4.57 goals (FC Kiisto 3.29 · KPV Akatemia 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kiisto vs KPV Akatemia?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.