Football · Finland Kolmonen · 12/08, 18:00

Prediction: JJK/2 vs JPS

Team pages: JJK/2 · JPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

JJK/21.21

JPS2.59

1X2

16% 17% 67%

JJK/2 Draw JPS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

JJK/2 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWWDL

JPS 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWDDW

Head-to-head

JJK/2 0–1–2 JPS (3 last)

JPS4-0JJK/2
JJK/20-2JPS
JPS0-0JJK/2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JJK/2 1494 · JPS 1601

	JJK/2	Draw	JPS
Our model	15%	19%	66%
Market	16%	16%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JPS (rating 1494 vs 1601).
H2H favours JPS: 2-1-0.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JJK/2	JPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.4	3.2 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	1.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/13/50%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	2 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.50

X5.50

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.82

2 (-1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 5.50▼	Bet365 5.50
X	5.75 → 5.50▼	Bet365 5.50
2	1.27 → 1.33▲	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:57 +7’	6.50	5.75	1.27
06:59 +6’	5.50▼	5.50▼	1.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JJK/2 0–1–2 JPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	JPS	4-0 HT 2-0	JJK/2
22/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	JJK/2	0-2 HT 0-1	JPS
04/08/21 Finland Kolmonen	JPS	0-0 HT 0-0	JJK/2

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JPS	12	8	4	0	39	8	28
2	FCJ Blackbird	13	7	4	2	37	20	25
3	FC Metso	12	6	3	3	32	26	21
4	KeuPa	12	4	5	3	22	23	17
5	JJK/2	11	5	1	5	23	28	16
6	Savon Pallo	13	4	2	7	28	32	14
7	Komeetat	13	3	2	8	16	24	11
8	FC Vaajakoski II	14	2	1	11	19	55	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JJK/2	JPS
FCJ Blackbird	0-6 L	1-1 D
Komeetat	1-1 D	1-1 D
Savon Pallo	2-0 W	3-1 W
FC Vaajakoski II	3-2 W	8-0 W
FC Metso	2-3 L	5-0 W
KeuPa	5-3 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: JPS (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JJK/2

WWLLWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-6	7	1	L
31/07	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
24/07	Savon Pallo Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
15/07	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/06	FC Metso Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
17/06	KeuPa Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-3	6	2	W
10/06	JPS Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	0	0	L
05/06	FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-5	5	0	L
27/05	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
15/05	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	–	6-0	–	–	W

JPS

WWDWWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	–	8-0	–	–	W
29/07	FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
17/07	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	12	4	D
24/06	KeuPa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	8	0	W
17/06	Savon Pallo Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
10/06	JJK/2 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	11	0	W
02/06	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
29/05	FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
22/05	FC Metso Finland Kolmonen	–	5-0	–	–	W
15/05	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JJK/2 vs JPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JPS win (67%). Probabilities: JJK/2 16%, draw 17%, JPS 67%.

How many goals are expected in JJK/2 vs JPS?

The model expects 3.8 goals (JJK/2 1.21 · JPS 2.59), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in JJK/2 vs JPS?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.