Prediction: LAUTP II vs HaPK
- HaPK0-0LAUTP II
| LAUTP II | Draw | HaPK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 4% | 6% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HaPK (rating 1400 vs 1534).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LAUTP II | HaPK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 3.7 | 3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/44/56% | 57/14/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 2.4 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LAUTP II 0–1–0 HaPK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | HaPK | 0-0 | LAUTP II |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PeKa | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 54 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | IPS Edustus | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 23 | 36 |
| 3 | Kultsu FC | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | MiPK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | HaPK | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 28 |
| 6 | KJP | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 23 |
| 7 | MP II | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 21 |
| 8 | KoPa | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 20 |
| 9 | LAUTP | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 36 | 18 |
| 10 | Edustus STPS | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 32 | 14 |
| 11 | Kumu | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 56 | 8 |
| 12 | LAUTP II | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 53 | 7 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LAUTP II | HaPK |
|---|---|---|
| PeKa | 1-8 L | 2-4 L |
| Edustus STPS | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| MiPK | 0-7 L | 4-3 W |
| LAUTP | 0-1 L | 5-2 W |
| Kumu | 0-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Kultsu FC | 0-8 L | 3-5 L |
| KoPa | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| KJP | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| MP II | 2-4 L | 1-4 L |
| IPS Edustus | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 9 L | 6 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: HaPK (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LAUTP II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | PeKa Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 1-8 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 05/08 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/07 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/07 | Kumu Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/06 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-8 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/06 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
HaPK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Kumu Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | Kultsu FC Finland Kolmonen |
1-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | KoPa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | KJP Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | MP II Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | LAUTP Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | PeKa Finland Kolmonen |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | MiPK Finland Kolmonen |
4-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LAUTP II vs HaPK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HaPK win (83%). Probabilities: LAUTP II 7%, draw 10%, HaPK 83%.
How many goals are expected in LAUTP II vs HaPK?
The model expects 4.4 goals (LAUTP II 1.2 · HaPK 3.2), with a 56% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in LAUTP II vs HaPK?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.