Football · Finland Kolmonen · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: FC Kontu vs Valtti

Team pages: FC Kontu · Valtti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

FC Kontu1.76

Valtti2.22

1X2

31% 21% 48%

FC Kontu Draw Valtti

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kontu 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWLWDL

Valtti 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWLLDL

Head-to-head

FC Kontu 1–1–4 Valtti (6 last)

Valtti1-0FC Kontu
Valtti2-1FC Kontu
FC Kontu0-5Valtti
FC Kontu1-5Valtti
Valtti1-1FC Kontu
FC Kontu2-0Valtti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kontu 1455 · Valtti 1486

	FC Kontu	Draw	Valtti
Our model	30%	22%	48%
Market	31%	20%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Valtti: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kontu	Valtti
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.9	1.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	1.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X4.50

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:26 +24’	2.88	4.50	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kontu 1–1–4 Valtti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Valtti	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Kontu
22/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	Valtti	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Kontu
16/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kontu	0-5 HT 0-2	Valtti
23/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kontu	1-5 HT 1-0	Valtti
29/07/22 Finland Kolmonen	Valtti	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Kontu
22/04/22 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kontu	2-0 HT 2-0	Valtti

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	15	10	2	3	34	23	32
2	PPJ/Lauttasaari	15	8	5	2	51	22	29
3	ToTe	14	9	2	3	33	15	29
4	LPS Helsinki	13	7	1	5	35	29	22
5	Valtti	14	7	1	6	27	28	22
6	VJS Vantaa II	15	6	2	7	48	28	20
7	Atlantis FC/PM	15	6	2	7	35	54	20
8	Tips Vantaa	14	6	1	7	30	35	19
9	HPS II	15	4	4	7	37	40	16
10	Töölön Taisto	14	2	8	4	25	30	14
11	FC Kontu	15	3	5	7	26	38	14
12	PPS	15	2	1	12	16	55	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kontu	Valtti
MPS/Atletico Malmi	1-1 D	2-1 W
HPS II	3-2 W	3-1 W
Atlantis FC/PM	2-3 L	1-3 L
PPS	4-3 W	3-0 W
LPS Helsinki	3-4 L	2-3 L
VJS Vantaa II	1-0 W	4-3 W
Tips Vantaa	0-2 L	2-3 L
Töölön Taisto	3-3 D	1-1 D
ToTe	2-7 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Valtti (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kontu

LDLWLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-4	3	4	L
07/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
31/07	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-2	1	2	W
23/07	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	1	4	L
02/07	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-3	14	4	W
26/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-3	3-4	5	1	L
12/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
05/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	8	7	L
28/05	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-2	3-3	6	4	D
21/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-4	2-7	2	2	L

Valtti

LLWWWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
29/07	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	6	6	L
24/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
05/07	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-3	5	4	W
26/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	2	11	W
12/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
05/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	4	0	W
29/05	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
24/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kontu vs Valtti?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Valtti win (48%). Probabilities: FC Kontu 31%, draw 21%, Valtti 48%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kontu vs Valtti?

The model expects 3.98 goals (FC Kontu 1.76 · Valtti 2.22), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kontu vs Valtti?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.