Football · Finland Kolmonen · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: JJK/2 vs KeuPa

Team pages: JJK/2 · KeuPa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.34Total

JJK/21.79

KeuPa2.55

1X2

26% 20% 54%

JJK/2 Draw KeuPa

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

JJK/2 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWDLL

KeuPa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWWDWW

Head-to-head

JJK/2 3–2–1 KeuPa (6 last)

KeuPa3-5JJK/2
JJK/23-4KeuPa
JJK/21-1KeuPa
KeuPa0-0JJK/2
JJK/23-1KeuPa
JJK/23-1KeuPa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JJK/2 1466 · KeuPa 1539

	JJK/2	Draw	KeuPa
Our model	26%	20%	54%
Market	26%	20%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 4.34 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KeuPa (rating 1466 vs 1539).
H2H favours JJK/2: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JJK/2	KeuPa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 3.2	1.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/11/56%	0/22/78%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.50

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:34 +16’	3.40	4.50	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JJK/2 3–2–1 KeuPa

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	KeuPa	3-5 HT 1-2	JJK/2
29/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	JJK/2	3-4 HT 3-1	KeuPa
05/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	JJK/2	1-1 HT 1-0	KeuPa
02/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	KeuPa	0-0	JJK/2
16/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	JJK/2	3-1 HT 0-0	KeuPa
07/09/22 Finland Kolmonen	JJK/2	3-1 HT 3-1	KeuPa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JPS	13	9	4	0	47	8	31
2	FC Metso	14	8	3	3	40	29	27
3	FCJ Blackbird	15	7	4	4	40	27	25
4	KeuPa	13	5	5	3	25	25	20
5	JJK/2	12	5	1	6	23	36	16
6	Savon Pallo	14	4	2	8	29	34	14
7	Komeetat	14	3	2	9	18	28	11
8	FC Vaajakoski II	15	3	1	11	21	56	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JJK/2	KeuPa
JPS	0-8 L	0-3 L
FCJ Blackbird	0-6 L	3-2 W
Komeetat	1-1 D	1-0 W
Savon Pallo	2-0 W	2-2 D
FC Vaajakoski II	3-2 W	5-1 W
FC Metso	2-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KeuPa (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JJK/2

WLLWLWWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	JPS Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-8	3	0	L
07/08	FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-6	7	1	L
31/07	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
24/07	Savon Pallo Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
15/07	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/06	FC Metso Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
17/06	KeuPa Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-3	6	2	W
10/06	JPS Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	0	0	L
05/06	FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-5	5	0	L
27/05	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	6	1	W

KeuPa

DWLLLWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen	0-2	3-2	6	2	W
07/08	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
31/07	Savon Pallo Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
24/07	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	5-1	3	1	W
19/07	FC Metso Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/06	JPS Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
17/06	JJK/2 Finland Kolmonen	1-2	3-5	7	2	L
12/06	FCJ Blackbird Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
05/06	Komeetat Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
20/05	FC Vaajakoski II Finland Kolmonen	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JJK/2 vs KeuPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KeuPa win (54%). Probabilities: JJK/2 26%, draw 20%, KeuPa 54%.

How many goals are expected in JJK/2 vs KeuPa?

The model expects 4.34 goals (JJK/2 1.79 · KeuPa 2.55), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JJK/2 vs KeuPa?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.