Football · Finland Kolmonen · 21/08, 18:30

Prediction: FC Lahti II vs RiPS

Team pages: FC Lahti II · RiPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

FC Lahti II1.98

RiPS1.77

1X2

43% 23% 35%

FC Lahti II Draw RiPS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Lahti II 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDWDDD

RiPS 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Lahti II 1–1–1 RiPS (3 last)

RiPS3-2FC Lahti II
FC Lahti II2-2RiPS
RiPS0-1FC Lahti II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Lahti II 1530 · RiPS 1532

	FC Lahti II	Draw	RiPS
Our model	43%	23%	34%
Market	43%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Lahti II	RiPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	2.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/29/29%	63/13/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.7	1.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:53 +2’	2.10	4.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lahti II 1–1–1 RiPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	RiPS	3-2	FC Lahti II
19/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Lahti II	2-2 HT 1-1	RiPS
13/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	RiPS	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Lahti II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Futura	15	13	1	1	51	12	40
2	Sibbov	12	9	1	2	50	21	28
3	RiPS	14	8	1	5	30	24	25
4	JäPS/47	13	7	3	3	32	19	24
5	FC Lahti II	13	6	5	2	23	17	23
6	Atlantis II	14	5	3	6	27	42	18
7	TuPS	14	5	1	8	27	22	16
8	Gnistan/Ogeli	13	4	3	6	19	30	15
9	Ponnistus	14	3	3	8	20	38	12
10	ToTe/Tapio	14	1	3	10	16	43	6
11	TiPS U21	14	1	2	11	13	40	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Lahti II	RiPS
Ponnistus	2-2 D	1-0 W
JäPS/47	3-3 D	4-2 W
Atlantis II	1-1 D	2-2 D
Gnistan/Ogeli	2-0 W	1-2 L
Sibbov	2-2 D	2-3 L
FC Futura	1-4 L	0-2 L
TiPS U21	4-0 W	4-1 W
TuPS	2-1 W	3-0 W
ToTe/Tapio	1-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: RiPS (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lahti II

LWWWLDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
07/08	JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen	–	3-3	–	–	D
01/08	Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	9	0	D
02/07	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
24/06	Sibbov Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
12/06	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
05/06	TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
29/05	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
24/05	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
16/05	RiPS Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L

RiPS

WWDLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
07/08	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-2	7	1	L
31/07	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/07	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	0-2	–	–	L
04/07	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-1	10	1	W
17/06	TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-1	7	0	W
06/06	Sibbov Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
28/05	Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
22/05	JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-2	4	3	W
16/05	FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lahti II vs RiPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lahti II win (43%). Probabilities: FC Lahti II 43%, draw 23%, RiPS 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lahti II vs RiPS?

The model expects 3.75 goals (FC Lahti II 1.98 · RiPS 1.77), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lahti II vs RiPS?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.