Football · Finland Kolmonen · 31/08, 16:45

Prediction: Tips Vantaa vs Töölön Taisto

Team pages: Tips Vantaa · Töölön Taisto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

Tips Vantaa2.08

Töölön Taisto1.88

1X2

43% 22% 35%

Tips Vantaa Draw Töölön Taisto

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Tips Vantaa 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLDWLWWW

Töölön Taisto 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLDDDLWL

Head-to-head

Tips Vantaa 2–2–0 Töölön Taisto (4 last)

Töölön Taisto1-1Tips Vantaa
Töölön Taisto0-0Tips Vantaa
Tips Vantaa5-3Töölön Taisto
Tips Vantaa4-0Töölön Taisto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tips Vantaa 1537 · Töölön Taisto 1488

	Tips Vantaa	Draw	Töölön Taisto
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	43%	21%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tips Vantaa (rating 1537 vs 1488).
H2H favours Tips Vantaa: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tips Vantaa	Töölön Taisto
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2	2.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	3.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.18 ★
X	4.33 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	2.90 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.55

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:10 +7’	1.83	4.33	2.90
13:59 +7’	2.05▲	4.20▼	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:04 +1’	1.88	3.87	2.97
14:06 +1’	2.18▲	3.64▼	2.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tips Vantaa 2–2–0 Töölön Taisto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/07/26 Finland Kolmonen	Töölön Taisto	1-1 HT 0-0	Tips Vantaa
04/10/25 Finland Kolmonen	Töölön Taisto	0-0 HT 0-0	Tips Vantaa
04/07/25 Finland Kolmonen	Tips Vantaa	5-3 HT 2-1	Töölön Taisto
11/08/17 Finland Kolmonen	Tips Vantaa	4-0 HT 1-0	Töölön Taisto

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ToTe	16	10	3	3	37	18	33
2	MPS/Atletico Malmi	17	10	2	5	35	31	32
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	17	8	5	4	51	25	29
4	VJS Vantaa II	17	8	2	7	55	29	26
5	LPS Helsinki	15	8	2	5	42	31	26
6	Valtti	16	8	2	6	30	30	26
7	Tips Vantaa	16	8	1	7	36	36	25
8	Atlantis FC/PM	17	7	3	7	43	59	24
9	HPS II	17	4	5	8	40	45	17
10	Töölön Taisto	16	3	8	5	30	36	17
11	FC Kontu	17	3	6	8	29	42	15
12	PPS	17	2	1	14	16	62	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tips Vantaa	Töölön Taisto
MPS/Atletico Malmi	3-1 W	2-2 D
PPS	3-0 W	5-0 W
ToTe	2-0 W	1-4 L
VJS Vantaa II	1-4 L	3-1 W
Valtti	3-2 W	1-1 D
Atlantis FC/PM	2-4 L	3-6 L
LPS Helsinki	4-7 L	1-4 L
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tips Vantaa (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tips Vantaa

WWLLDWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	7	W
21/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	8	7	W
14/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
09/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
29/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	6	W
23/07	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
25/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	0-4	2-4	6	5	L
17/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	2-3	4-7	6	4	L
12/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	2	7	W

Töölön Taisto

WDWLDDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	0-4	3-6	6	2	L
20/08	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
14/08	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	9	3	L
06/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
01/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-2	8	3	D
23/07	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
03/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	5	5	L
24/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-1	9	9	W
11/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
07/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tips Vantaa vs Töölön Taisto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tips Vantaa win (43%). Probabilities: Tips Vantaa 43%, draw 22%, Töölön Taisto 35%.

How many goals are expected in Tips Vantaa vs Töölön Taisto?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Tips Vantaa 2.08 · Töölön Taisto 1.88), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Tips Vantaa vs Töölön Taisto?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.