Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Augnablik Kopavogur vs Sindri

Team pages: Augnablik Kopavogur · Sindri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Augnablik Kopavogur1.69

Sindri1.77

1X2

37% 22% 40%

Augnablik Kopavogur Draw Sindri

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Augnablik Kopavogur 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWLWL

Sindri 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Augnablik Kopavogur 4–1–1 Sindri (6 last)

Sindri0-1Augnablik Kopavogur
Sindri0-1Augnablik Kopavogur
Augnablik Kopavogur3-0Sindri
Augnablik Kopavogur2-2Sindri
Sindri0-3Augnablik Kopavogur
Augnablik Kopavogur1-2Sindri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Augnablik Kopavogur 1477 · Sindri 1538

	Augnablik Kopavogur	Draw	Sindri
Our model	36%	24%	39%
Market	38%	21%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sindri (rating 1477 vs 1538).
H2H favours Augnablik Kopavogur: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Augnablik Kopavogur	Sindri
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	2.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	3 / 8.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X4.33

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 10:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.38▲	Pinn 2.53 ★
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.30

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:45 +2’	2.35	4.33	2.20
10:36 +6’	2.38▲	4.20▼	2.20
18:37 +6’	2.63▲	4.20	2.00▼
10:15 +10’	2.38▼	4.33▲	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:21 +142’	3.03	3.89	1.93
07:28 +177’	2.53▼	3.64▼	2.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Augnablik Kopavogur 4–1–1 Sindri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Sindri	0-1 HT 0-0	Augnablik Kopavogur
16/08/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Sindri	0-1 HT 0-1	Augnablik Kopavogur
09/06/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	3-0 HT 1-0	Sindri
17/08/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	2-2 HT 0-2	Sindri
08/06/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Sindri	0-3 HT 0-1	Augnablik Kopavogur
27/08/22 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	1-2	Sindri

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	21	14	3	4	56	22	45
2	KH Hlidarendi	21	12	5	4	62	28	41
3	Tindastoll	21	13	2	6	50	35	41
4	Reynir Sandgerdi	21	12	3	6	57	42	39
5	KV Vesturbaer	21	9	3	9	53	58	30
6	Sindri	21	8	3	10	40	46	27
7	KF Fjallabyggd	21	6	9	6	29	35	27
8	Hottur/Huginn	21	6	8	7	30	34	26
9	Augnablik Kopavogur	21	7	3	11	37	47	24
10	Ymir Kopavogur	21	6	5	10	34	46	23
11	KA Asvellir	21	7	1	13	39	64	22
12	FC Arbaer	21	2	3	16	31	61	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Augnablik Kopavogur	Sindri
KH Hlidarendi	0-5 L	3-5 L
KF Fjallabyggd	2-0 W	0-2 L
Tindastoll	0-2 L	3-1 W
KV Vesturbaer	1-0 W	2-2 D
Reynir Sandgerdi	2-3 L	4-1 W
Hottur/Huginn	1-4 L	3-1 W
FC Arbaer	2-4 L	5-2 W
KA Asvellir	2-3 L	1-2 L
Ymir Kopavogur	3-1 W	3-1 W
Vidir Gardur	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sindri (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Augnablik Kopavogur

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	0-5	9	4	L
29/08	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
23/08	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
19/08	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/08	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-3	3	5	L
08/08	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
29/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
23/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-3	–	–	L
17/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	3	5	D

Sindri

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	2-2	8	2	D
23/08	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
19/08	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	5-2	–	–	W
11/08	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	1-2	13	7	L
25/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
12/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	2-3	3-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Augnablik Kopavogur vs Sindri?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sindri win (40%). Probabilities: Augnablik Kopavogur 37%, draw 22%, Sindri 40%.

How many goals are expected in Augnablik Kopavogur vs Sindri?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Augnablik Kopavogur 1.69 · Sindri 1.77), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Augnablik Kopavogur vs Sindri?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.