Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 04/09, 21:15

Prediction: KH Hlidarendi vs Augnablik Kopavogur

Team pages: KH Hlidarendi · Augnablik Kopavogur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

KH Hlidarendi2.5

Augnablik Kopavogur1.21

1X2

65% 18% 17%

KH Hlidarendi Draw Augnablik Kopavogur

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

KH Hlidarendi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWDWL

Augnablik Kopavogur 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLLWLW

Head-to-head

KH Hlidarendi 2–1–2 Augnablik Kopavogur (5 last)

Augnablik Kopavogur1-3KH Hlidarendi
Augnablik Kopavogur1-2KH Hlidarendi
KH Hlidarendi0-2Augnablik Kopavogur
Augnablik Kopavogur2-0KH Hlidarendi
KH Hlidarendi3-3Augnablik Kopavogur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KH Hlidarendi 1548 · Augnablik Kopavogur 1477

	KH Hlidarendi	Draw	Augnablik Kopavogur
Our model	65%	19%	16%
Market	66%	17%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KH Hlidarendi (rating 1548 vs 1477).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KH Hlidarendi	Augnablik Kopavogur
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 8	1.4 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.36

X5.25

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 13:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.36▼	Bet365 1.36
X	5.00 → 5.25▲	Pinn 6.11 ★
2	5.00 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:43 +3’	1.40	5.00	5.00
23:18 +5’	1.42▲	5.00	4.75▼
04:37 +6’	1.33▼	5.25▲	5.50▲
10:08 +3’	1.40▲	5.00▼	5.00▼
13:33 +2’	1.36▼	5.25▲	5.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:23	1.32	5.39	6.17
04:42 +1’	1.32▲	5.40▲	6.03▼
08:15	1.31▼	5.50▲	6.13▲
10:11	1.43▲	5.62▲	4.36▼
13:34	1.32▼	6.11▲	5.19▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KH Hlidarendi 2–1–2 Augnablik Kopavogur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/06/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	1-3 HT 1-1	KH Hlidarendi
05/08/22 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	1-2	KH Hlidarendi
27/05/22 Iceland 3 Deild	KH Hlidarendi	0-2 HT 0-1	Augnablik Kopavogur
19/07/19 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	2-0 HT 2-0	KH Hlidarendi
04/05/19 Iceland 3 Deild	KH Hlidarendi	3-3	Augnablik Kopavogur

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	20	13	3	4	51	21	42
2	Tindastoll	20	13	2	5	49	32	41
3	Reynir Sandgerdi	20	12	3	5	57	40	39
4	KH Hlidarendi	20	11	5	4	57	28	38
5	KV Vesturbaer	20	9	3	8	52	53	30
6	KF Fjallabyggd	20	6	8	6	27	33	26
7	Augnablik Kopavogur	20	7	3	10	37	42	24
8	Sindri	20	7	3	10	37	45	24
9	Hottur/Huginn	20	5	8	7	26	33	23
10	KA Asvellir	20	7	1	12	38	60	22
11	Ymir Kopavogur	20	5	5	10	32	46	20
12	FC Arbaer	20	2	2	16	29	59	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KH Hlidarendi	Augnablik Kopavogur
Tindastoll	1-3 L	0-2 L
KV Vesturbaer	4-1 W	1-0 W
Reynir Sandgerdi	2-2 D	2-3 L
Hottur/Huginn	4-1 W	1-4 L
FC Arbaer	2-1 W	2-4 L
KA Asvellir	7-0 W	2-3 L
Ymir Kopavogur	0-1 L	3-1 W
Vidir Gardur	1-1 D	0-0 D
Sindri	5-3 W	1-0 W
KF Fjallabyggd	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: KH Hlidarendi (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KH Hlidarendi

LWDLWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	4-1	7	4	W
19/08	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	2-2	8	5	D
15/08	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	3-1	4-1	4	2	W
08/08	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
29/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	4-0	7-0	–	–	W
24/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
17/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	3-2	5-3	–	–	W
04/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-1	19	4	L

Augnablik Kopavogur

WDWLLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
23/08	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
19/08	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/08	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-3	3	5	L
08/08	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
29/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
23/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-3	–	–	L
17/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
04/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KH Hlidarendi vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KH Hlidarendi win (65%). Probabilities: KH Hlidarendi 65%, draw 18%, Augnablik Kopavogur 17%.

How many goals are expected in KH Hlidarendi vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

The model expects 3.72 goals (KH Hlidarendi 2.5 · Augnablik Kopavogur 1.21), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in KH Hlidarendi vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.