Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 04/09, 21:15

Prediction: Ymir Kopavogur vs Reynir Sandgerdi

Team pages: Ymir Kopavogur · Reynir Sandgerdi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.46Total
Ymir Kopavogur1.72
Reynir Sandgerdi2.74
1X2
23% 19% 59%
Ymir Kopavogur Draw Reynir Sandgerdi
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Ymir Kopavogur 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLDLWD
Reynir Sandgerdi 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWWDLW
Head-to-head
Ymir Kopavogur 0–3–2 Reynir Sandgerdi (5 last)
  • Reynir Sandgerdi2-2Ymir Kopavogur
  • Ymir Kopavogur1-1Reynir Sandgerdi
  • Reynir Sandgerdi3-3Ymir Kopavogur
  • Ymir Kopavogur3-5Reynir Sandgerdi
  • Reynir Sandgerdi5-1Ymir Kopavogur
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ymir Kopavogur 1440 · Reynir Sandgerdi 1555
Ymir KopavogurDrawReynir Sandgerdi
Our model23%19%59%
Market22%19%59%
Estimated total (ours) 4.46 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reynir Sandgerdi (rating 1440 vs 1555).
  • H2H favours Reynir Sandgerdi: 2-3-0.
  • High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ymir KopavogurReynir Sandgerdi
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 2.63.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.11.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 44.3 / 9.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.43.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ymir Kopavogur 032 Reynir Sandgerdi

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Iceland 3 Deild
Reynir Sandgerdi2-2
HT 1-2
Ymir Kopavogur
09/08/25
Iceland 3 Deild
Ymir Kopavogur1-1
HT 0-0
Reynir Sandgerdi
30/05/25
Iceland 3 Deild
Reynir Sandgerdi3-3
HT 0-3
Ymir Kopavogur
08/09/23
Iceland 3 Deild
Ymir Kopavogur3-5
HT 1-2
Reynir Sandgerdi
30/06/23
Iceland 3 Deild
Reynir Sandgerdi5-1
HT 3-0
Ymir Kopavogur

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vidir Gardur 201334 512142
2 Tindastoll 201325 493241
3 Reynir Sandgerdi 201235 574039
4 KH Hlidarendi 201154 572838
5 KV Vesturbaer 20938 525330
6 KF Fjallabyggd 20686 273326
7 Augnablik Kopavogur 207310 374224
8 Sindri 207310 374524
9 Hottur/Huginn 20587 263323
10 KA Asvellir 207112 386022
11 Ymir Kopavogur 205510 324620
12 FC Arbaer 202216 29598

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYmir KopavogurReynir Sandgerdi
Hottur/Huginn 1-1 D 4-0 W
FC Arbaer 4-3 W 3-1 W
KA Asvellir 2-5 L 7-2 W
KF Fjallabyggd 1-1 D 3-0 W
Sindri 1-3 L 1-4 L
Vidir Gardur 1-5 L 2-1 W
KH Hlidarendi 1-0 W 2-2 D
Augnablik Kopavogur 1-3 L 3-2 W
Tindastoll 1-2 L 5-0 W
KV Vesturbaer 2-3 L 3-6 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 6 L 7 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Reynir Sandgerdi (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ymir Kopavogur

LLLWLLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Hottur/Huginn
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 1-1 D
23/08 FC Arbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
2-2 4-3 45 W
19/08 KA Asvellir
Iceland 3 Deild
0-2 2-5 115 L
15/08 KF Fjallabyggd
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 1-1 27 D
11/08 Sindri
Iceland 3 Deild
0-2 1-3 L
08/08 Vidir Gardur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-2 1-5 02 L
24/07 KH Hlidarendi
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 1-0 25 W
17/07 Augnablik Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 1-3 L
12/07 Tindastoll
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 1-2 06 L
02/07 KV Vesturbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 2-3 95 L

Reynir Sandgerdi

WWWWLWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/08 Vidir Gardur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 2-1 W
23/08 Sindri
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 1-4 L
19/08 KH Hlidarendi
Iceland 3 Deild
1-2 2-2 115 D
15/08 Augnablik Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
3-0 3-2 65 W
07/08 Tindastoll
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 5-0 122 W
29/07 KV Vesturbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
2-1 3-6 142 L
25/07 KF Fjallabyggd
Iceland 3 Deild
2-0 3-0 51 W
18/07 Hottur/Huginn
Iceland 3 Deild
3-0 4-0 W
13/07 FC Arbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
2-0 3-1 74 W
03/07 KA Asvellir
Iceland 3 Deild
4-0 7-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ymir Kopavogur vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reynir Sandgerdi win (59%). Probabilities: Ymir Kopavogur 23%, draw 19%, Reynir Sandgerdi 59%.

How many goals are expected in Ymir Kopavogur vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

The model expects 4.46 goals (Ymir Kopavogur 1.72 · Reynir Sandgerdi 2.74), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ymir Kopavogur vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.