Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: KA Asvellir vs Hottur/Huginn

Team pages: KA Asvellir · Hottur/Huginn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

KA Asvellir1.89

Hottur/Huginn2.17

1X2

34% 21% 45%

KA Asvellir Draw Hottur/Huginn

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

KA Asvellir 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLWLW

Hottur/Huginn 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWLLLD

Head-to-head

KA Asvellir 0–1–0 Hottur/Huginn (1 last)

Hottur/Huginn1-1KA Asvellir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KA Asvellir 1467 · Hottur/Huginn 1484

	KA Asvellir	Draw	Hottur/Huginn
Our model	34%	22%	44%
Market	34%	21%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KA Asvellir	Hottur/Huginn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 3.7	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.5	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.3	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X4.33

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:48 +11’	2.63	4.33	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KA Asvellir 0–1–0 Hottur/Huginn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Hottur/Huginn	1-1 HT 0-0	KA Asvellir

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	20	13	3	4	51	21	42
2	Tindastoll	20	13	2	5	49	32	41
3	Reynir Sandgerdi	20	12	3	5	57	40	39
4	KH Hlidarendi	20	11	5	4	57	28	38
5	KV Vesturbaer	20	9	3	8	52	53	30
6	KF Fjallabyggd	20	6	8	6	27	33	26
7	Augnablik Kopavogur	20	7	3	10	37	42	24
8	Sindri	20	7	3	10	37	45	24
9	Hottur/Huginn	20	5	8	7	26	33	23
10	KA Asvellir	20	7	1	12	38	60	22
11	Ymir Kopavogur	20	5	5	10	32	46	20
12	FC Arbaer	20	2	2	16	29	59	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KA Asvellir	Hottur/Huginn
FC Arbaer	4-1 W	2-0 W
KF Fjallabyggd	2-3 L	0-0 D
Ymir Kopavogur	5-2 W	1-1 D
Vidir Gardur	0-4 L	0-3 L
Sindri	2-1 W	1-3 L
KH Hlidarendi	0-7 L	1-4 L
Augnablik Kopavogur	3-2 W	4-1 W
Tindastoll	3-7 L	3-2 W
KV Vesturbaer	1-3 L	1-1 D
Reynir Sandgerdi	2-7 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hottur/Huginn (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KA Asvellir

LLLWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	4-1	7	4	W
23/08	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	2-3	0	9	L
19/08	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	5-2	4	5	W
14/08	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
08/08	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
29/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	0-4	0-7	–	–	L
23/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	3-2	–	–	W
17/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	3-7	6	6	L
10/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
03/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-4	2-7	–	–	L

Hottur/Huginn

WDLDWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
08/08	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
28/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
25/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
12/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-0	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KA Asvellir vs Hottur/Huginn?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hottur/Huginn win (45%). Probabilities: KA Asvellir 34%, draw 21%, Hottur/Huginn 45%.

How many goals are expected in KA Asvellir vs Hottur/Huginn?

The model expects 4.06 goals (KA Asvellir 1.89 · Hottur/Huginn 2.17), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KA Asvellir vs Hottur/Huginn?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.