Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 07/08, 20:00

Prediction: Reynir Sandgerdi vs Tindastoll

Team pages: Reynir Sandgerdi · Tindastoll

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.42Total

Reynir Sandgerdi2.24

Tindastoll2.17

1X2

41% 21% 38%

Reynir Sandgerdi Draw Tindastoll

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Reynir Sandgerdi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWWWLL

Tindastoll 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Reynir Sandgerdi 1–1–2 Tindastoll (4 last)

Tindastoll2-1Reynir Sandgerdi
Reynir Sandgerdi2-3Tindastoll
Tindastoll0-1Reynir Sandgerdi
Reynir Sandgerdi5-5Tindastoll

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reynir Sandgerdi 1537 · Tindastoll 1532

	Reynir Sandgerdi	Draw	Tindastoll
Our model	41%	21%	38%
Market	41%	21%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tindastoll: 2-1-1.
High corners: 14.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Reynir Sandgerdi	Tindastoll
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 2.2	2.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 8.6	3.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.20

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.35 ★
X	4.10 → 4.20▲	Pinn 4.40
2	2.05 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:05 +5’	2.60	4.10	2.05
21:38 +5’	2.20▼	4.33▲	2.35▲
14:08 +6’	2.20	4.20▼	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:43 +1’	2.25	3.88	2.33
23:21	2.25	3.89▲	2.33
09:01 +2’	2.28▲	4.00▲	2.37▲
16:15 +1’	2.25▼	4.28▲	2.34▼
19:21 +4’	2.35▲	4.40▲	2.28▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Reynir Sandgerdi 1–1–2 Tindastoll

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Tindastoll	2-1 HT 1-0	Reynir Sandgerdi
30/07/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Reynir Sandgerdi	2-3 HT 0-1	Tindastoll
24/05/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Tindastoll	0-1 HT 0-1	Reynir Sandgerdi
18/09/20 Iceland 3 Deild	Reynir Sandgerdi	5-5	Tindastoll

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tindastoll	15	10	1	4	40	23	31
2	Vidir Gardur	15	9	3	3	34	16	30
3	Reynir Sandgerdi	15	9	2	4	44	31	29
4	KH Hlidarendi	15	8	4	3	44	20	28
5	KV Vesturbaer	15	9	1	5	43	39	28
6	KF Fjallabyggd	15	5	5	5	18	23	20
7	Hottur/Huginn	15	4	7	4	19	21	19
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	15	5	3	7	31	33	18
9	Ymir Kopavogur	14	4	3	7	22	28	15
10	KA Asvellir	15	4	1	10	25	49	13
11	Sindri	14	3	2	9	19	36	11
12	FC Arbaer	15	2	2	11	20	40	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Reynir Sandgerdi	Tindastoll
KV Vesturbaer	3-6 L	4-1 W
KF Fjallabyggd	3-0 W	1-3 L
Hottur/Huginn	4-0 W	2-3 L
FC Arbaer	3-1 W	4-0 W
KH Hlidarendi	2-2 D	1-2 L
KA Asvellir	7-2 W	7-3 W
Ymir Kopavogur	2-2 D	2-1 W
Vidir Gardur	0-5 L	0-3 L
Sindri	4-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Reynir Sandgerdi (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Reynir Sandgerdi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Haukar Iceland Lower League Cup	1-1	2-3	3	1	L
29/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	3-6	14	2	L
25/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
18/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
13/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	3-1	7	4	W
08/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland Lower League Cup	0-2	2-2	18	9	D
03/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	4-0	7-2	–	–	W
28/06	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	2-2	7	2	D
19/06	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	0-5	6	2	L
14/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	4-1	–	–	W

Tindastoll

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
25/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
17/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	7-3	6	6	W
12/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	2-1	7	6	W
04/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
25/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-2	9	2	W
19/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
14/06	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
10/06	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
06/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-1	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reynir Sandgerdi vs Tindastoll?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reynir Sandgerdi win (41%). Probabilities: Reynir Sandgerdi 41%, draw 21%, Tindastoll 38%.

How many goals are expected in Reynir Sandgerdi vs Tindastoll?

The model expects 4.42 goals (Reynir Sandgerdi 2.24 · Tindastoll 2.17), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Reynir Sandgerdi vs Tindastoll?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.